Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[Snowfan]

FV3 is colder, should be a great hit for the areas expecting. Think it even gives ATL some love on the backside.

That's a good sign.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

View attachment 8701

Looks like 2-3" for you

 

[RollTide18]

@Storm5 may be able to make that quick trip to Huntsville after all

 

[TheBatman]

@Storm5 may be able to make that quick trip to Huntsville after all

Based off icons snow output?

 

[Brick Tamland]

So really this is coming down to the globals vs. the NAM. But even the NAM looked better last run.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

So really this is coming down to the globals vs. the NAM. But even the NAM looked better last run.

Post pictures of all the snow

 

[MSnowAtl]

I think the ULL will overperform

 

[Meteorologist1999]

What’s the 18z Euro and CMC show?

 

[Storm5]

@Storm5 may be able to make that quick trip to Huntsville after all

I think I’m headed to the smokies


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[Stormdoc]

So really this is coming down to the globals vs. the NAM. But even the NAM looked better last run.[/QUOTE
Don’t forget either we will have about 10 different looking solutions from the NAM before this storm starts!

 

[scroback]

Who's ready for the HRRRZ? All this OP inconsistencies are for the birds!

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HRRR Ensemble will be in range in not too long! Even at a shorter range Ensembles >>> Deterministic

 

[packfan98]

All of the 18z global models seemed to have beefed up total precip after taking a slight dip with 12z. I have a feeling that at least the surface temps will trend down over the next few runs for the areas in the heart of the CAD as long as the HP doesn't fade or the track of the lows shift.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

It might be Christmas before the FV3 finishes.

 

[Jessy89]

I’m trying to be optimistic about our chances In Pickens County sc. but laitley models are showing very little snow perhaps some ice

 

[packfan98]

Nice bump back south on the 18z GEFS on the snow depth maps on pivotal. Colder at the surface and aloft. 12z seems to be a bit of a blip. After the 0z runs tonight, we should be putting less weight on the ensemble suite, but they are fun to look at when they are all screaming for a big winter storm!

 

[Snowfan]

It might be Christmas before the FV3 finishes.

Don't worry. When the FV3 becomes fully operational in January, it should be less of a wait.

 

[Kylo]

Nice bump back south on the 18z GEFS on the snow depth maps on pivotal. Colder at the surface and aloft. 12z seems to be a bit of a blip. After the 0z runs tonight, we should be putting less weight on the ensemble suite, but they are fun to look at when they are all screaming for a big winter storm!

The 18z GEFS is closer to the 6z/0z GEFS but the 12z GEFS was just a slight bump north. But your right, the Op 18z was very close to the look below.

 

[Rain Cold]

Don't worry. When the FV3 becomes fully operational in January, it should be less of a wait.

Correct. Right now, they have to manually add the extra snow depth to the snow maps. That’ll be fully automated in January! Hurrah!

 

[Cary_Snow95]

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Thanks for all the PM’s guys, I have no changes from yesterday I believe if storm chasing I prefer Mount Rogers, VA. Def. no further south than Sparta, NC. Sleet and warm nose will struggle to get to these locations...but over a 75% chance warm nose makes it to Mount Airy and Wilkesboro NC.