Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[Metwannabe]

To quote one of the all time great philosophers.... "Frontend or bust"

 

[Jessy89]

Wtf GSP lol

View attachment 8693

That map looks like bunch of mixed up play dough lol

 

[Snownut]

I think the GFS will be right with track but I think its underestimating the CAD. That's what I think is going to come to fruition based on past CAD situations and models mishandling it.

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[Kylo]

To quote one of the all time great philosophers.... "Frontend or bust"

I can roll with that...and the 18z GFS. Yikes...don't let Brick see that run.

 

[$alt]

I think the GFS will be right with track but I think its underestimating the CAD. That's what I think is going to come to fruition based on past CAD situations and models mishandling it.

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Yeah, would like to see that 1034 higher, even if it is of banana origin.

 

[Snownut]

Yeah, would like to see that 1034 higher, even if it is of banana origin.

I think in the end it will verify higher

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[Snowflowxxl]

GFS is improved across the board!

 

[MichaelJ]

I cant see map for some reason what they got?

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A mess?

 

[Jessy89]

GFS is improved across the board!

Improved how?

 

[Metwannabe]

GFS doesn't have much of a warm nose (don't believe it) so it's more of a rn/sn with less icing

 

[Jessy89]

GFS doesn't have much of a warm nose (don't believe it) so it's more of a rn/sn with less icing

Gives upstate sc a dusting at best unless your in sc mountains.

 

[$alt]

Could be worse for sure:

 

[TigerSnow]

GFS doesn't have much of a warm nose (don't believe it) so it's more of a rn/sn with less icing

Looks like your typical Snow Storm around here. Sharp gradient in the I-85 corridor.

 

[WXinCanton]

As Met said much less ice

 

[Flo]

GFS is improved across the board!

Um not near across the board

 

[Webberweather53]

Yeah this taken at face value on the GFS (which is rarely a good idea when it comes to these kinds of setups) is a snow sounding at RDU but I don't feel comfortable with this much veering in the profile and winds screaming at 60 KT from the SSW near 700 hPa. Classic recipe for a very strong, over performing warm nose.

I've seen this movie before...

 

[Snownut]

Who's ready for the HRRR? All this OP inconsistencies are for the birds!

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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I’d be curious to know the timeline leading up to some of our big ZR events in the early 2000’s here in the upstate. Do they usually evolve from Snow threat to cold rain to ZR as you get closer to game time or is usually modeled well in advance?

 

[ATLwxfan]

GFS is improved across the board!

The ULL really sputtering


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[Kylo]

Yeah this taken at face value on the GFS (which is rarely a good idea when it comes to these kinds of setups) is a snow sounding at RDU but I don't feel comfortable with this much veering in the profile and winds screaming at 60 KT from the SSW near 700 hPa.

I've seen this movie before...

View attachment 8697

You leaning more sleet or frzn towards Triangle?