snowlover91
Member
Here's an FV3 map through hour 78 that appears to better pickup on the areas that see snow. Not bad. It's one of the colder models but may be too cold too, we will need to see how well it actually verifies.
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
WXinCanton
Member
I was banned for using the term meat flaps lol. Otherwise I would be right there with you.
Yellow Snow
Member
They've updated mby in Athens also. This morning FFC had us at 90% rain/snow on Sunday; now it's 100% wintry mix on Sunday.
NoSnowATL
Member
Atlanta NWS still have rain / Snow all the way to the Alabama line, it’s on there twitter page. Crazy. All snow Sunday night into Monday.
Gonna need those temps to go down.They've updated mby in Athens also. This morning FFC had mby at 90% rain/snow on Sunday; now it's 100% wintry mix on Sunday.
NoSnowATL
Member
You bet me to it.
snowlover91
Member
Here's a great view of the 925mb temps on the FV3 GFS. You can see the CAD quite clearly, I'm thinking a lot of areas would go to sleet instead of rain/zr in the CAD areas if this is accurate.
BlueRidgeFolklore
Member
Not to be rude but Hooterville is projected to have a foot plus on the ground and mid morning Sunday is the height of the storm. Are seriously going to try and drive up the mountain then? Or are you staying up there?
Man they are almost as bad as ATL tv mets. Are there any reputable mets in the entire state of GA?
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Here's an FV3 map through hour 78 that appears to better pickup on the areas that see snow. Not bad. It's one of the colder models but may be too cold too, we will need to see how well it actually verifies.
Is that the Kuchera map?
snowlover91
Member
No it's just based off the standard 10:1 ratios so I would cut those totals in half to account for various factors like mixing and lower ratios but it matches up better with soundings from what I've seen. I haven't been able to find a Kuchera map for the FV3 but there may be some out there on paid sites.
I get lollipop’d with 18”!.. so we trade one sh** model for another sh** model. Honestly it’s doing a decent job of sniffing I85 in the upstate although the high/low total fringe should be moved another 25 miles north of where it is now. And totals should be cut by a factor of 4Here's an FV3 map through hour 78 that appears to better pickup on the areas that see snow. Not bad. It's one of the colder models but may be too cold too, we will need to see how well it actually verifies.
They must be giving the FV3 a bit more weight in that prediction lol.They've updated mby in Athens also. This morning FFC had mby at 90% rain/snow on Sunday; now it's 100% wintry mix on Sunday.
NoSnowATL
Member
Brad is prob the best we have at the moment. Ella Dorsey is fairly new so time will tell, she was right about last Dec when others discounted the high totals.
You remember how bad FFC blew the early Dec snowstorm last year ? On this board, people were saying we would get hammered and FFC and Atlanta mets stayed conservative. I trust the guys on here way more than any met in GA.
Kylo
Member
UK and GEFS shifted N/W some.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
They are the national weather service and Brad P. Even said himself models aren’t handling the cad well enough. They may be on to something
Pivotal Weather has one it just takes forever for it to come out...
Lots of banter..... just a friendly reminder please help us keep this thread clean/crisp and on topic. Thanks