Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[packfan98]

Anyone have the UKMET? @Kylo

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Garbage clown map

At what point do we give it credit and it may be sniffing out the Cad. Also I know NEGa Won’t be snow

 

[SimeonNC]

Fv3 has me with a paste job, and a county south all rain, that will haunt me throughout the storm if it verifies

What part of CLT are you in? Just wondering

Sent from my Z983 using Tapatalk

 

[snowlover91]

Thats not the same hour you posted above...

Tidbits maps are designed to read the lowest and highest pressure within the grid that is viewed. With a regional view like I showed it pulled the lowest pressure in that grid in SE Tennessee but the actual low pressure is down in the Georgia area. It has been consistent with that track.

 

[GaStorm]

Garbage clown map

This has been the weenie map of the storm. Would be nice to know what this is based on.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I live in Salisbury

 

[SoutheastRidge]

There's been a Jim Cantore sighting. He is currently on I-40 West near Hickory headed to Asheville !

 

[snowlover91]

This has been the weenie map of the storm. Would be nice to know what this is based on.

As has been covered for days, the Tidbits algorithim is quite flawed and doesn't match up with what the FV3 is actually depicting as snow. Honestly until this issue is fixed, the FV3 maps shouldn't even be posted (in my opinion) because they are so misleading and not representative of what the model is actually showing...

 

[Brick Tamland]

FV3 singing some Tom Petty, I won't back down.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gefs went down considerably

 

[snowlover91]

Verbatim the FV3 starts this off in RDU as heavy snow at hour 66.

 

[Jessy89]

Gefs went down considerably

Can someone post it

 

[Fountainguy97]

Here is the fv3 trend since 18z yesterday. Quite noticeable north trend in LP. That and small weakening of HP is likely the culprit for the warmer temps.

12z is abt the same as 06z was for temps but the north trend continues

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Garbage clown map

“I still get 20.”

This has been the weenie map of the storm. Would be nice to know what this is based on.

I think it takes everyone’s cold rain and converts it into 20:1 ratio snow

 

[GaStorm]

As has been covered for days, the Tidbits algorithim is quite flawed and doesn't match up with what the FV3 is actually depicting as snow. Honestly until this issue is fixed, the FV3 maps shouldn't even be posted (in my opinion) because they are so misleading and not representative of what the model is actually showing...

Ok. I do remember reading something on it and seems like the issue was possibly wrong temp estimates?

 

[Rain Cold]

Glad I cashed out with the FV3 run last night. This one is gone. NW trend is real. Hopefully, the mountains and foothills still get a nice front end thump.

 

[snowlover91]

Ok. I do remember reading something on it and seems like the issue was possibly wrong temp estimates?

Yeah basically the way Tidbits determines what p-type is falling is pretty flawed and doesn't look at the entire column. So if an area is 33-34 at the surface and 850s are fairly close to 0C but above it it will show that as "snow" on the accumulation map even though it would be rain or at best sleet falling.

 

[Jessy89]

I hope Hendersonville N.C. has some snow on the ground mid morning Sunday. That’s when I’ll take my kiddos to play

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Glad I cashed out with the FV3 run last night. This one is gone. NW trend is real. Hopefully, the mountains and foothills still get a nice front end thump.

Glad I cashed out with the 12z Euro run last Sunday. Patiently awaiting my 30”

 

[No snow for you]

Glad I cashed out with the FV3 run last night. This one is gone. NW trend is real. Hopefully, the mountains and foothills still get a nice front end thump.

I'm going back to my day job of setting the market lines and trolling Trix. Glad my office will be open Monday. Winter canceled.