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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Just by looking at the radar Durham and Chapel Hill has got more than that already.


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I was thinking some of that may be bright banding. I've seen reports of both heavy snow and mix. But, yeah, they look to pick up some decent accums over there, if things stay mostly snow.
 
Light snow here, looks like it might be mixed with ice. My office is supposed to open at noon, so hoping it gets heavier and they decide to close.
 
If this verifies somebody is going to be understandably unbearable..... we won't mention any names
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If this verifies somebody is going to be understandably unbearable..... we won't mention any names
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There are an awful lot of sleet reports. I don't know if that's going to work out. We have sleet with a few flakes in Raleigh right now.
 
There are an awful lot of sleet reports. I don't know if that's going to work out. We have sleet with a few flakes in Raleigh right now.
I figured it was accurate because it shows a goose egg over Shane's house, with accums to his north and south
 
Looks like sleet is mixing in everywhere now. Where is the warm nose coming from? ULLs are supposed to be cold. Don't they know that?

925s and surface temps are trash.
Looking at radar you would think there is very heavy snow near Durham. Lots of yellows and oranges on radar !
Most of the time that's sleet showing up on radar. Very rarely does snow show itself as yellows, oranges, or reds on radar.
 
HRRR sure has snow beefed up over upstate tonight. Could see an additional inch out of that.

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Hug the FV3 all the way, Shane!

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Last chance for the Midlands to see at most a dusting tonight when the shortwave moves through. Finger crossed.
 
Last chance for the Midlands to see at most a dusting tonight when the shortwave moves through. Finger crossed.

Maybe. The Northern Midlands saw some flakes mixing in this morning. Last I checked a few hours ago, the snow growth region is pretty darn dry. If we can't get the flakes to form, we'll end up with drizzle/freezing fog or something like that.
 
Here is a sounding from the NAM 3KM around the Midlands for the "band" later on. Need deeper moisture! But I wouldn't be surprised to see a brief light snow shower or two.

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Looks like it's dying out.....

All of the modeling has a second wave of precip of some sort swinging through. Again, it's light stuff, but will be a win for some that saw just rain so far. ;)
 
I find it interesting this winter storm occurred during a strong +NAO. I always thought -NAO was usually needed for most east coast winter storms...maybe that applies more for nor'easters rather than southern sliders?
 
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Each Orange Triange indicates 501-2,000 power outages.
 
The bulk of the precip must be on the way if I'm going to get another 2 inches. It wasn't doing anything when I left the house to go to work, but 12 miles south towards Raleigh there is light snow at my office.
 
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