Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[Brick Tamland]

UK and GEFS shifted N/W some.

View attachment 8642

So, it's one bad run of the NAM, one not as good run of the GFS versus great runs of the FV3, Canadian, and UK so far today.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

UKMET way better for NE GA

 

[NoSnowATL]

Lots of banter..... just a friendly reminder please help us keep this thread clean/crisp and on topic. Thanks

My apologies, was just trying to kill time between runs.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

They are the national weather service and Brad P. Even said himself models aren’t handling the cad well enough. They may be on to something

Yeah but I just don't see it being snow ? Seems like more of an icing scenario ?

 

[GaStorm]

Doesn't the UKMET usually indicate how the Euro will go?

 

[Kylo]

So, it's one bad run of the NAM, one not as good run of the GFS versus great runs of the FV3, Canadian, and UK so far today.

I expect a more amped ull as we get closer. We shall see how that changes things.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Doesn't the UKMET usually indicate how the Euro will go?

Yes. Based on the Ukie snow map, it looked pretty steady to me. I’m expecting a slight nw shift on the Euro but pretty similar to its last run overall

 

[ForsythSnow]

UKMET way better for NE GA

If that's anything we can bet, the Euro will be similar when it runs to that. I'm backing away from the edge once more.
#DeathtotheGFS

 

[Snowfan]

Doesn't the UKMET usually indicate how the Euro will go?

I think so.

 

[Metwannabe]

My apologies, was just trying to kill time between runs.

I get it and honestly again it's not a huge deal but unfortunately it usually just snowballs and next thing you know it's like people just carrying on a conversation in here, and thanks.

 

[Arcc]

Verbatim the FV3 starts this off in RDU as heavy snow at hour 66.

Not quite, DGZ is very dry. Probably mostly sleet.

 

[packfan98]

The 12z FV3 finished. Will this be the last crazy clown map we see????

 

[Yellow Snow]

They are the national weather service and Brad P. Even said himself models aren’t handling the cad well enough. They may be on to something

If FFC is on to something, it looks like the adjacent NWS offices aren't seeing it yet...

 

[Round Oak Weather]

UK and GEFS shifted N/W some.

View attachment 8642

Looks way further into GA than last run. It sounds crazy but last nights NAM could be very accurate with this storm when it’s all done. We’re ridinng from run to run and everything is all over the place North South East West this storm has shifted all over the place on these models with no consistency so honestly we may not know what happens until it happens. If u have had something from one of the model runs then u are in the game because of the inconsistency so far. My opinion

 

[Snownut]

If FFC is on to something, it looks like the adjacent NWS offices aren't seeing it yet...

That is 4am sat morning

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[SoutheastRidge]

If FFC is on to something, it looks like the adjacent NWS offices aren't seeing it yet...

So according to that map, the light and dark purple are both ice. Does the darker shaded purple indicate heavier freezing rain ? I guess according to this map West GA is going to see some heavy freezing rain.

 

[Jessy89]

That is 4am sat morning

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Wouldn’t the upstate be seeing something to by 4am

 

[Yellow Snow]

That is 4am sat morning

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I know - my point is that the IP line magically ends at the borders of their CWA.

 

[dsaur]

I agree....anything under that upper low will be light at best for sure. Anyone who sees anything under that ULL and its flurries...call it a big win...

At least the surface low is lower Get it into Fla, and us away from the heat, and the cad could do it's work better. Still time to adjust for more of Ga than Clayton Co.

 

[Snownut]

Wouldn’t the upstate be seeing something to by 4am

Not sat morning no. Sunday morning yes

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