Just wondered what the rgem would look like and it already has some precip into western nc by hour 60
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
It looks like the GFS finally started to get the idea of a good CAD push, but just too late for most of GA this run. But baby steps right? Lol .NAM looked like a good push but a little later this run and hence the not as much frozen in GA .we March on to the 12z.
WeatherAddiction
Member
Hoping for these colder trends and southern placement
Kylo
Member
6z Euro.
No snow for you
Member
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- Dec 28, 2016
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Which model shows the most cold rain and least amount of snow? That’s the one I am hugging but damn they all show me getting over a foot.
Yep, that’s the way to do it. I’m thinking CMC or ICON.
Kylo
Member
Deep Thunder from Mike V.
Kylo
Member
From FFC
...Accumulating snowfall possible over the mountains and other
areas of northeast Georgia Saturday into Sunday...
...Heavy rainfall is also expected across north and central
Georgia...
Confidence is increasing in the potential for a winter storm
for the far northeast portions of the forecast area. The period of
most concern is Saturday night into Sunday for the mountains and
far northeast counties. At this time, the counties most likely
affected are Eastern Fannin, Eastern Dawson, Union, Lumpkin,
Towns, White, Hall and Banks. It is way too early to mention
amounts but this is the area with the greatest chances for
accumulations.
The latest forecast storm total rainfall amounts have increased
over the area from previous with this next system. We are now
expecting a widespread area of 2.5 to 3 inch totals from Columbus
to Rome and points east. Given recent systems across the area and
the time of year, we can expect at least some isolated flooding
issues.
Residents of north and central Georgia should keep up with all
forecast updates as things are likely to change.
...Accumulating snowfall possible over the mountains and other
areas of northeast Georgia Saturday into Sunday...
...Heavy rainfall is also expected across north and central
Georgia...
Confidence is increasing in the potential for a winter storm
for the far northeast portions of the forecast area. The period of
most concern is Saturday night into Sunday for the mountains and
far northeast counties. At this time, the counties most likely
affected are Eastern Fannin, Eastern Dawson, Union, Lumpkin,
Towns, White, Hall and Banks. It is way too early to mention
amounts but this is the area with the greatest chances for
accumulations.
The latest forecast storm total rainfall amounts have increased
over the area from previous with this next system. We are now
expecting a widespread area of 2.5 to 3 inch totals from Columbus
to Rome and points east. Given recent systems across the area and
the time of year, we can expect at least some isolated flooding
issues.
Residents of north and central Georgia should keep up with all
forecast updates as things are likely to change.
TerryInTucker
Member
National Weather Service has Rain/Sleet/Snow forecast for my ZIP Code and I'm nowhere close to those areas.... but rather in Tucker/Norcross. It's always a last minute, wait and see for us, though, so I'm used to it. LOL
ForsythSnow
Moderator
FFC has for my area Saturday night into Sunday snow/sleet 100% with a qpf of 1.4". Imagine the accumulations from that. This has to be the longest storm I've seen in a forecast given it tapers off and returns Tuesday.
NoSnowATL
Member
Better to be safe but it’s looking like a cold rain for the metro area boys, local Mets seem to be backing off and upping temps. Might have to watch flooding issues.
No snow for you
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Let’s roll with those. I hope you enjoy your cold rain as much as I am.
BHS1975
Member
Also FFC take on storm:
LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...
The main concern for the long term period continues to be the
potential for a winter mix of precipitation across portions
of the forecast area this coming weekend into Tuesday morning.
The GFS and European are similar with developing low pressure
along the Gulf Coast and moving it across the S GA/N FL area
on Sunday and then into the Atlantic thereafter with the GFS
being a little faster.
Deep moisture is forecast to move over the area Friday night and
Saturday with a rather strong surface ridge of high pressure
developing down the eastern Appalachians providing a strong
overrunning flow. The question will be is how cold the airmass
will be through Sunday over the NE counties, especially the
mountains. For the most part, a cold rain can be expected. However
a period of a winter mix is certainly possible of mainly sleet and
snow and this will depend greatly on how cold the airmass is over
the NE counties. Confidence is still low for significant accumulations
but HAS grown. At this time, the target area with the best chance
of accumulating snow is the higher elevations of the NE Mountains
and as far south as Madison, Banks and Hall counties.
This forecast will continue to be a watch and monitor of future
model runs to see how this system might develop.
The associated upper system moves to and across the area Sunday
night into Monday night giving potential for a Rain/Snow shower mix.
At this time, any precipitation amounts with the upper system
are expected to be light. Any snow accumulations will be most likely
in the Mountains.
Forecast high temperatures for Saturday into Tuesday are expected
to be well below normal. Otherwise temperatures are most likely
within several degrees of normal for most locations.
LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...
The main concern for the long term period continues to be the
potential for a winter mix of precipitation across portions
of the forecast area this coming weekend into Tuesday morning.
The GFS and European are similar with developing low pressure
along the Gulf Coast and moving it across the S GA/N FL area
on Sunday and then into the Atlantic thereafter with the GFS
being a little faster.
Deep moisture is forecast to move over the area Friday night and
Saturday with a rather strong surface ridge of high pressure
developing down the eastern Appalachians providing a strong
overrunning flow. The question will be is how cold the airmass
will be through Sunday over the NE counties, especially the
mountains. For the most part, a cold rain can be expected. However
a period of a winter mix is certainly possible of mainly sleet and
snow and this will depend greatly on how cold the airmass is over
the NE counties. Confidence is still low for significant accumulations
but HAS grown. At this time, the target area with the best chance
of accumulating snow is the higher elevations of the NE Mountains
and as far south as Madison, Banks and Hall counties.
This forecast will continue to be a watch and monitor of future
model runs to see how this system might develop.
The associated upper system moves to and across the area Sunday
night into Monday night giving potential for a Rain/Snow shower mix.
At this time, any precipitation amounts with the upper system
are expected to be light. Any snow accumulations will be most likely
in the Mountains.
Forecast high temperatures for Saturday into Tuesday are expected
to be well below normal. Otherwise temperatures are most likely
within several degrees of normal for most locations.
MichaelJ
Member
Looks like it shifted South a little but also eroded the CAD some. If that 1040 High in Wisconsin boogies over fast it could slow this thing down quite a bit once it reaches the coast and perhaps even stall it from moving North much
06z NAM slightly weaker CAD than 00z and slightly warmer 850s
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
19 here this morning. Much colder than forecast.