Snowflowxxl
Member
Yikes, RGEM and NAM throwing warning shots!
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
It’s been consistently showing a warm nose.
Radar starting to get interesting over SC and moisture finally making a push toward central nc. Here we go
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Avalanche
Member
freezing rain down your way?
NoSnowATL
Member
If so we are in big trouble, no forecast in and around ATL looked like that.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Holy sleet! That's a lot of sleet.
I just don't see how we are going to be able to accumulate the several inches predicted by WRAL and NWS without several hours of pure, uninterrupted heavy snow. I do think we will see some accumulation (an inch or two seems very likely) but I just don't see us waking up to like six inches on the ground tomorrow.
They’ve been throwing warning shots for a long time. But we’ll wait for the fv3 to tell us what up. I hope DC gets a foot at this point.
Psalm 148:8
Member
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Can someone pm me the conditions in the Spartanburg and Charlotte areas tomorrow around lunch.. and what is truly expected to happen in the 85 corridor? I am 50 miles southwest of Atlanta... my grandmother died today and me and my husband need to get to the funeral. We have not even planned the day until tomorrow after lunch in hopes that we pick a day that it will be safe for us to travel 85 through SC into Charlotte. We are looking at leaving to go to Charlotte around 430 am Wednesday or Thursday... to have a service around lunch time. some of you please give me some advice. She was 101 yeArs old... also any of my friends on this board , please stop by the visitation (Belmont,(NC) if you can. I will post arrangements tomorrow when I get some of y’all s advice... thanks in advance for understanding...I know this sounds like banter but I seriously need y’all to advise me so we can be safe. Love, Lee Ann
Avalanche
Member
Sad to say but with no radiational cooling, temps hanging in the upper 30's and low 40's, its going to take a lot of snow just to get the surface suffice to allow accumulations.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Sleet is starting to accumulate on some of the cars here, you can tell it's rate driven because as soon as the precipitation lets up I flip back to a cold rain, it gets more intense more sleet, etc. I just hope it's not too warm aloft for snow already here but I think if I get a nice big band it should
I'm sorry for your loss.
Reminds me of February 25, 2015 a bit. Temperatures hovered near 40 degrees until the snow started. We waited a long time for the snow to start and we ultimately accumulated a few inches of snow and sleet mixed.
LovingGulfLows
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Condolences to you and wow 101...hope I can live that long. Hope you get to the funeral safely!
Avalanche
Member
I wish it were different. If it were mid-30's I'd feel much better, but it isn't. I guess I'll just have to enjoy the fact that it is falling from the sky.
Sorry for your loss Lee Ann my condolences, thoughts, and prayers go out to you and your family.
Yeah we really need to go right to heavy precip.
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Avalanche
Member
WRAL's Radar is starting to pick up snow in Guilford County.
I'd guess that's a lot of bright banding but lots of models have .5-1 between onset and changeover so its going to come down
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Avalanche
Member
Avalanche
Member
If only, like in summer, we could have clear nights with optimal RC, then heavy precip falls. High of 44 with thick cloud cover be darned.
Bessemer city now seeing heavy wet snow/sleet
Avalanche
Member
Gaston County FTW!!!
Exactly. Folks around here have memory loss every winter. It's the same old song and dance with the models. The globals look good and then we get in range of the hi res CAMs, and the warm nose says goodbye to the snow. They don't believe the NAM or RGEM until it's too late. Both of these models are giving me less than .5 inches of snow now. The RAP and the HRRR are giving me 6+ inches of snow. This is going to be an epic battle between these models on the Wake/Johnston line.
If we can get snow/sleet going we should get down near freezing fairly quickly. Im still fairly not confident in any solution with this event since we could easily pile up 6-8 by morning if things go perfect. Conversely we could wake up to nothing on the ground and a rain sleet mix
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Only been looking at this same radar for 12 hours
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Here comes the warm advection at 700 hpa.
Avalanche
Member
Avalanche
Member
Uh oh. Oh no!!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It's a doubled edged sword, while the warm advection will eventually lead to the formation of a warm nose aloft it's also one of the primary lifting mechanisms in this storm that will provide you any wintry precipitation in the first place.
What is a TP?
Avalanche
Member
This system has so much to offer us its a shame that TP's have to be so marginal.
Avalanche
Member
Sorry, thermal profiles. I should have spelled it out.
Ilovesnow28
Member
Man oh man it's snowing heavy here in Asheville NC... I probably need to call my job and tell them back at home I'll probably need to add an extra day or two off work
Yellow Snow
Member
No snow for you
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33.4/32 here in Greenville. Sleet fest going right now
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It's a sleet fest here in NE Charlotte, just dumping ice pellets atm. Trying to stick to the sidewalks now
Man I’m praying to see a changeover to snow every time I walk outside, would be ripping if we could changeover