Snowflowxxl
Member
GFS about to cut, don’t think it will be as good
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The orientation and evolution of the high will change s.t. by the time the system reaches our neck of the woods the low-level flow will probably have some northeasterly component to it
Hr138 low pressure starts going back sw into central Louisiana.
Considering it is the happy hour, I'm tossing it.
Hr144 going into south Mississippi
Snownut
Member
And he H pushes it south
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
I'm guessing this one is going to end up being a weird Apps Runner-Miller B like transfer based on what I'm seeing unless the system outruns the high. If it does then it might just be an Apps Runner.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The GFS sending the low into north Texas in this run looks to be related to convective feedback in the model and thus is potentially spurious, the low in following frames slides along the Gulf coast.
WXinCanton
Member
Jon
Member
wayyyy too warm this run, this run won’t be good
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High still looks good, icy precip not responding!
Everybody slowly back away from the cliff.
Looks good for Arkansas.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Still gonna be wintry in NC but it won't be as beautiful a run the 12z was.
Jon
Member
Still a nice snowstorm for the triad of N.C. and apps. Triad with 6-8”+ give or take.
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I’ve heard this thing is 7 days out for the last 4 days. Wouldn’t it be fair to say it’s 5 days out? Because by this time Friday, I am pretty sure everyone will have a idea on what this thing is going to do. Idk, just an opinion.
Round Oak Weather
Member
Never really thought the 12z GFS was that great the FV3 was where it’s at
GeorgiaGirl
Member
And yeah, I gotta laugh a little bit at the look the surface is producing. The confluence is actually stronger this run in the NE, yet the low is north?
The snow will begin in western areas in 5 days so yeah its 5 days away for some areas.