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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Forevertothee said:
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Brad P. from Charlotte


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Lmao at Columbia. We can’t win
 
Chris J said if you live north if 85 you have a 60% chance and up but if you live even 3 miles south of 85 you will only get rain 80% of the time.
 
Bsud said:
That red high impact is not far enough south, the likelyhood of winter weather will be down to I85 in the upstate

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The red area simply indicates where a "high impact" event is likely. It doesnt mean areas south of that dont have a high likelihood of winter weather.
 
There should be a cone for winter storms like hurricanes because a shift a few miles this way or that way makes a huge difference in these type setups. Its wild enough this far out, wait until the hi res short range models start to come into range
 
Can we keep Brad’s silly conservative stuff off here? Anyone could have viewed that at the WPC for the past few days. At this range he is not going to post anything meaningful to add to a higher discussion. It would confuse the public .
 
Ethan80963 said:
Chris J said if you live north if 85 you have a 60% chance and up but if you live even 3 miles south of 85 you will only get rain 80% of the time.
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Pretty amazing how consistent the R/S lines are across our areas. Weather is unpredictable but it is cconsistent in this case haha
 
SD said:
I still don't feel very comfortable with the setup. Like I said this morning we are walking a thin line between a decent event and getting nothing at all

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I'm with you, I'm sure if we searched hard enough we could find examples of being on the southeast side of the frozen precip 4 days out and scoring but it's rare extremely rare. Plus as you mentioned thin line for us, I know you've looked at soundings... I mean razor thin

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Brick Tamland said:
Why is that? The model runs look great to me.
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I guess it’s dependent on what makes each of us happy. For me 2-6 of snow with a high chance all of it melting in rain isn’t really “great.”

Models are more encouraging than yesterday for sure. If they continue shifting maybe we can cash in!
 
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