Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[Snowflowxxl]

NAM is a tad north at 30, CAD looks to be setting in good though, Dew points look improved.

 

[deltadog03]

NAM is a tad north at 30, CAD looks to be setting in good though, Dew points look improved.

Honestly they are massively improved already

 

[Snownut]

Nam thru 34 looks a bit south and colder

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[whatalife]

This may be an interesting nam run. CAD is setting in nicely...


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[ForsythSnow]

Precip arriving faster than last run. Not sure what impacts it will have if any, but if I remember right, Delta mentioned such usually happens.

850s are significantly colder in some parts as well.

 

[Jessy89]

1038 high

 

[Nomanslandva]

What it this feature out in front? It shifted north quite a bit.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

CAD much stronger

 

[TheBatman]

You would think it would be better for you guys in the Carolina with the low being weak. At 39 hours the low pressure is 1039.

 

[TheBatman]

Hour 45 ya Carolina guys is sitting up nicely.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

This about to be a big run

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

View attachment 8724 Hour 45 ya Carolina guys is sitting up nicely.

Going to be another big run

 

[Snownut]

Get ready for a Boom on the 00z NAM

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[scroback]

TCLT has 6 hours of rain before some snow tries to start making it to the sfc. Td's in the mid 30s...oomf

 

[TheBatman]

Get ready for a Boom on the 00z NAM

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Yup you guys going to get some insane totals. Espically West North Carolina.

 

[TheBatman]

Also some 8 inch snow totals in central Arkansas friends on here.

 

[TerryInTucker]

This about to be a big run

For whom?

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Woof Woof!

 

[TheBatman]

For whom?

The Carolinas and Arkansas as of hour 45.

 

[Brick Tamland]

So now what do the mets do if the NAM comes in like the globals?

 

[ATLwxfan]

For whom?

Don’t worry, not us.


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[Snowflowxxl]

Much colder run

 

[Cary_Snow95]

May just be me but this run so far looks slightly worse than 18z. Dps are up and the high is weaker

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

.HR 36 - 51 ON THE 00Z NAM

 

[RollTide18]

So now what do the mets do if the NAM comes in like the globals?

Dismiss it and ride the Globals probably

 

[Myfrotho704_]

850s warmed back up, maybe dynamical cooling can happen

 

[Brick Tamland]

Dismiss it and ride the Globals probably

The globals have been better than the NAM, though, until the last run and what appears to be this run. If the globals and NAM all agree, do they go all in?

 

[WeatherNC]

As things stand now, Blowing Rock is where I will be Saturday afternoon - Tuesday. I like the elevation
(wind potential), eastern side of the escarpment, 321 should be plowed with a backdoor through Boone and 421 if needed. Not ready to commit further south than there at the moment, SW VA appears to be out of play. Slower timing will allow ingest of the 12z run on Saturday for any last minute adjustments as I am on the road.

 

[WXinCanton]

So now what do the mets do if the NAM comes in like the globals?

They will analyze it and use it as a tool to produce a forecast.

 

[RollTide18]

Someone broke the NAM

 

[Snowflowxxl]

west half of NC getting hammered at 57!

 

[Snownut]

YOWZA! This is a Big run

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[Snownut]

Upstate could be in for one hell of a sleet storm

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[TheBatman]

Hr57

 

[TheBatman]

Wow. What a map.

 

[hikingtheappalachians]

18z Sunday is when the sleet will be at its peak probably. Not nearly was widespread as it was on the 18z run, but there's still a pretty big signal here.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Most of NC and Upstate SC gets NAM'd, although it's mostly one heck of an ice/sleet storm in Upstate SC.

 

[Snowfan]

Carolinas got NAM’d!

 

[Jessy89]

Looks like in upstate sc best chance of this mixbag is 3am till 12noon Sunday. Hopefully more moves in though

 

[Brick Tamland]

Wow. What a map. View attachment 8728

Wow, NAM is doubling down, globals are being consistent for a big storm, too. The potential is there for this to be an incredible storm