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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

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This run has the low over the big bend in Florida rather eastern GA
 
ICON is showing temperatures in the upper 20s with rain for western NC lol. Its Tidbits precip maps are not accurate
I believe Tidbits only shows rain or snow for the ICON. So there could be some IP or ZR that is present but not being shown. However, I think it's best if we just ignore the ICON for now. I don't know of a single time it has outperformed other models.
 
Well not gonna end as well as hoped, heading up the coast too close for cen NC that's for sure... our hp just goes poof lol
 
Still 4 days . These op runs are well within their ensemble envelope so while it’s not what we want , these type solutions are possible


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Overall better run, just the gfs being the gfs and eroding the cad to quick
 
Still 4 days . These op runs are well within their ensemble envelope so while it’s not what we want , these type solutions are possible


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And more in line with climo.


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Still 4 days . These op runs are well within their ensemble envelope so while it’s not what we want , these type solutions are possible


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I hope it plays out just like that, I don't care what it showed at the surface, if that HP is that strong and there and the slp is that far south..... I'm not worried.
 
LOL, what happened to that strong HP? It doesn't even move out, it just goes poof! How does that even happen?!
 
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