P
theres going to be plenty of cold air.
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Pattern Dazzling December
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
NoSnowATL
Member
April
I understand that, but I’ve look for studies about this and there really isn’t anything specific about it.
griteater
Member
Trend loop of last 5 runs of GEFS for Dec 17. Biggest improvement I like is keeping the NE Siberia low out of Alaska
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Thor
Member
I always really liked this graphic below when looking at NAO and cross referencing some of my best storms/seasons on the east coast. 2010 was basically off the chart. Early 90's were awful. But yeah I would need to see some studies that these indices don't matter as much.
Maybe. It's just the opinion of one of our best mets that it won't be. But like all of us he's wrong sometimes.
The cold will be here for Jackpot January! (tm)
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Man this takes it’s sweet ole time getting here. Getting close to under 240. But I feel like we were saying this the last couple of days. Not lining everything getting pushed back. This looks like a more healthy push of cold air than the 18z run though. Not a fan of it coming from the west ugh
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The complete 180 the gfs just did is quite remarkable but almost predictable with how ensembles have looked. CMC is showing something similar but we may have to seriously start looking at the potential for some significant severe weather if this sort of thing holds. Just an amazing temperature gradient and strong southerly winds bringing up warm moist air. This along with plenty of shear on tap means a severe threat is certainly on the table.
Not only this but check out the change from one run to the current .. the +PNA just exploded and things are about to get very cold and backed up here soon.
Not only this but check out the change from one run to the current .. the +PNA just exploded and things are about to get very cold and backed up here soon.
Here’s an in depth look at the severe ingredients. Things can change but these big time winter polar fronts mean business’s in meteorology and are some of the biggest producers of severe weather due to the extreme temperature gradients they can produce. This polar front is something that continues to be produced on the models. Not only that but some low cape values plus high temps/dews and strong shear means some problems for someone in the south. And of course check out the extreme switch up behind the front.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
The cold is coming y’all, finally seems like we’re not delaying things any further.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Right after that severe front. Something kind of happened like that in early January which flipped the pattern. The question is, will a +PNA develop? How long will the cold last? Will be interesting.
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Wouldn’t completely jump on and off board with every run (you’ll get a headache and disappointed too many times)
but I’m optimistic this pattern produces some sort of cold in late December
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
In my opinion it’s with this northern plains snowstorm that puts the pattern in motion. Obviously there is many other things that can happen to hurt our chances but I’m fairly confident with this.Wouldn’t completely jump on and off board with every run (you’ll get a headache and disappointed too many times)
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I feel like this GEFS run may be better than 18z
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I like where the GEFS is trending in regards to AK 
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Gentlemen and weenies, this is how you get cold. Blasted cold. Three letters, say it with me “CPF”.
