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Coronavirus (Stay on Topic)

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Jon said:
Outside China the death rate is much lower though I believe, below 2% and that includes Italy. He’s right assuming it’s not as bad as we think. The death rate will continue to go down as we get more positive ceases. The sample size is entirely too small to make a judgement on death rate in the United States. I’m pretty sure when this outbreak was beginning people were estimating the death rate to be over 10% and freaking out...it’s just a faulty way of calculating until we get enough positive tests.

I agree with your post though, great advice and thinking. The young need to take steps to protect the old.
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That's not correct. In Italy, the death rate is currently 3.4% per number of known cases. Sure it could be lower as more folks are infected, but currently we don't know.

Right now, per known US cases, we're at 6.7%.
 
NoSnowATL said:
3be4b2bc0f0ec77399b1f6af167fac03.jpg


Elderberry is no joke. That stuff works! You can’t take Elderberry and Tamiflu at the same time.



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Ordered some?
 
The only way to get REAL numbers is almost impossible. I see the death rate 3.4% on this forum and a lot of other mediums. This is
Reported Deaths/Reported Cases. The REAL number is Reported Deaths/(Unreported Cases + Reported Cases) = REALITY. There are more than likely thousands and thousands of cases that will go unreported. Conclusion is that the REAL number will be significantly less than 3.4%.


Edit: The same can be said for FLU
 
SASQUATCH said:
The only way to get REAL numbers is almost impossible. I see the death rate 3.4% on this forum and a lot of other mediums. This is
Reported Deaths/Reported Cases. The REAL number is Reported Deaths/(Unreported Cases + Reported Cases) = REALITY. There are more than likely thousands and thousands of cases that will go unreported. Conclusion is that the REAL number will be significantly less than 3.4%.


Edit: The same can be said for FLU
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If it's a third of 3.4 percent, it's still ten times higher than the flu.
 
Any death rate right now is really not accurate. As mentioned above we don’t know how many mild cases are not being reported. We don’t know how many asymptomatic cases are out there but it could be 40-60%. And then a mortality rate with this isn’t really applicable as a whole anyways. If you say this has a 3% death rate, you are pretty much saying 3 out of a 100 will die which is not the case. If it hits normal people from 19-60 the death rate outside of Wuhan is probably what 0.05%? And most of those that died probably had other health issues. Then again the death rate for 70+ could be 10-20%. It all depends on who gets infected and that alone will greatly skew the numbers. If we as a nation can keep it out of the nursing homes and long term Health facilities the death rate will plummet.
 
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Downeastnc said:
I think another reason people are less worried about the flu is there are vaccines that help reduce the impact.....we also have anti virals like Tamiflu that target the flu and offset the severity of it if taken in time, my son tested positive for Flu B back in Dec they put him and me on Tamiflu even though at the time I felt fine but sure enough a few days later I was positive for Flu B but I never really got beyond feeling like a regular cold....overall there is a pretty big system setup around limiting and controlling the flu impact in the US every year.
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My point being...we have all these great things like vaccines for the flu and people brush it off as if thousands of people don't die from the flu every single year. The fact is that most people who get corona virus will probably get through with little trouble but we are acting like we are being attacked by the black plague...….Its ridiculous if you ask me but just my 2 cents
 
Not sure been posted. A confirmed case in Williamson County TN. Outside Nashville. County next to me. My wife school has already been notified.
 
NoSnowATL said:
3be4b2bc0f0ec77399b1f6af167fac03.jpg


Elderberry is no joke. That stuff works! You can’t take Elderberry and Tamiflu at the same time.



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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I bought the vitamin c 1000mg jon says he takes. Should arrive today and be on standby next time I sense a virus anything coming on. Is this the same thing you just posted about above?
Dont think mine is derived from Black berries or black elderberry
 
NCSNOW said:
I bought the vitamin c 1000mg jon says he takes. Should arrive today and be on standby next time I sense a virus anything coming on. Is this the same thing you just posted about above?
Dont think mine is derived from Black berries or black elderberry
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I take black Elderberry 1000mg per day.


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I believe it’s not as bad as we’re thinking and as we get into spring and summer the cases will relax a little bit. The biggest thing is if your feeling a cold coming on go to the doctor don’t wait especially don’t go around the elderly and people who have a better chance of contracting it if your feeling sick. I also really hope the olympics don’t get canceled I look forward to it every 4 years.
 
If you don’t want to go in store to dig through the bins, bath and body has posted more online. The media ignores them because they have a lot on hand in stores. It’s also easy to make and soap&water works better. 1F0D543E-C3AF-427A-9A81-ED29414FE532.jpeg
 
Steven_1974 said:
That's not correct. In Italy, the death rate is currently 3.4% per number of known cases. Sure it could be lower as more folks are infected, but currently we don't know.

Right now, per known US cases, we're at 6.7%.
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What I said was correct. I said outside of China, meaning all counties combined and averaged together.. ALL cases outside of China. I wasn’t speaking of Italy specifically. That was meant to say:
“All counties including Italy”

Again, the 6.7% number is bogus. It’s a flawed statistical number. It holds absolutely no statistical significance.


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