• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Misc Cold Season Complaining

I want to see the ensembles move in pretty close sequence with each other for upper level feature placement. I'm seeing the GEFS move toward a warmer SE which would be closer to "normal". That one gets higher weight than the others. If the GEFS was mimicking the EPS or GEPS in the upper level placement, I would not weight it as heavily. Same for the EPS if it was showing the warmer solution.
 
weatherfide said:
Exactly this. The warmer solutions usually turn out to be closer to reality. It makes, sense, though. The southeast will tend to move toward climatology and it's difficult to sustain any real significant deviation.
Click to expand...
I suppose. I guess folks like me that grew up in the 70’s and 80’s fail to realize that particular period might have been colder and snowier than average, but we look at it as if it was our base state and the way things should be. We considered it normal when in fact maybe it wasn’t. It was just an above average snowfall time period.
 
weatherfide said:
Exactly this. The warmer solutions usually turn out to be closer to reality. It makes, sense, though. The southeast will tend to move toward climatology and it's difficult to sustain any real significant deviation.
Click to expand...

Getting warmer generally in the SE and less cold and snow sucks for us. However this month has helped me to appreciate there's still hope. This December has been cool/cold IMBY and I thought that was out the window considering the last several years. Yes it can still snow and be cold in the winter, though perhaps more of a rare occurrence.

I never expect cold in December....it got cold in December.
I never expect snow from a clipper....I got snow from a clipper....in December.

This month has shown me we're not too far gone.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top