Misc Cold Season Complaining

[Snowflowxxl]

“Proper sampling” “model bias”

 

[NCHighCountryWX]

Mountain snow view from Hibreten Mountain in Lenoir.

 

[Shawn]

“Proper sampling” “model bias”

We don't even know where the bundle we need for a storm will actually drop down at this point to be fair.

Model bias... I'm really not on that train cause multiple models gave dumped this energy back in various forms.

The big storm is gone because of hanging energy back or lagging to so bad it's getting completely left or shrapnelfied.

There's at least 100 small changes that will change the outcome, so we wait

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

@Brent, I really think you might be cutting it close if you go to KC. I think you need to be a little north of KC to get the maximum snow. KC Airport is on the North side of town, so maybe get a hotel near there.

 

[jeremyt]

@Brent, I really think you might be cutting it close if you go to KC. I think you need to be a little north of KC to get the maximum snow.

Agreed KC looks to be in the FR zone!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

When y’all say Feb 2010 it rustles my jimmies bc that’s in my top 5

 

[Brent]

Agreed KC looks to be in the FR zone!

Yeah I'm thinking maybe just go to St Joseph and ride it out

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

When y’all say Feb 2010 it rustles my jimmies bc that’s in my top 5

I'll forever cherish the Feb 2010 snowfall because that was the last one before my grandmother passed away. And she loved the snow !

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Yeah I'm thinking maybe just go to St Joseph and ride it out

I wouldnt go any further south than the KC airport, or just go to St Joseph

 

[Brent]

I wouldnt go any further south than the KC airport, or just go to St Joseph

My met friend had said St Joseph last night when I told him

 

[Usmeagle2005]

Seems like we need to start out with 100 inches of snow on the models 7 days out to get 2 inches of actual snow to actually

This is sarcasm. Extreme sarcasm.

i have a feeling my sister in Hattiesburg Ms (about 60 miles north of the coast) will be sending me snow pics while I have blue skies here in North Miss, I can just see it.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

My met friend had said St Joseph last night when I told him

You can't go wrong with St Joseph at this point. St Joseph is less than an hour from KC so its not that far away.

 

[Rain Cold]

️ Model Bias
️ Wave not sampled
️ Got it right where we want it at this range
️ Precip always holds together than what the models are showing

Moving nicely down the list.

 

[Chattownsnow]

Soooo what happened to all the cold air? Looks like typical January cool down to me. We suck

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Soooo what happened to all the cold air? Looks like typical January cool down to me. We suck

I don't think we'll be setting any records, but the big story will be the duration of the Below Normal temps.

 

[NoSnowATL]

I don't think we'll be setting any records, but the big story will be the duration of the above Normal snowfall .

Fixed

 

[Shawn]

Good the GEFS showed what I needed to stay onboard. A couple nicer storms on the members

 

[Arcc]

️ Model Bias
️ Wave not sampled
️ Got it right where we want it at this range
️ Precip always holds together than what the models are showing

Moving nicely down the list.

Where is my taco emoji….

 

[JP152]

 

[Snowfan]

Where is my taco emoji….

Server Hamster had too much and went to the bathroom

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

View attachment 158669

A foot of snow in Southeast Texas and none in Charlotte ?

 

[JP152]

A foot of snow in Southeast Texas and none in Charlotte ?

Weird. It will change numerous times before then.

 

[SnowNiner]

Southern WX forum life hack. Save time on model runs by simply glancing at the whamby thread. Tells you all you need to know in 3 seconds.

Ha nevermind, another held back energy whiff except for TX. At some point we've got to trend to kick that energy and ridge can't tuck so much.

 

[BullCityWx]

The posting count means nothing when its half a page of informative posts and two and a half pages of fluff.

 

[ontherocks]

️ Model Bias
️ Wave not sampled
️ Got it right where we want it at this range
️ Precip always holds together than what the models are showing

Moving nicely down the list.

Was literally just coming here to say that I see we have “players on the field” so…..

 

[jeremyt]

The posting count means nothing when its half a page of informative posts and two and a half pages of fluff.

Like this? . All in fun man!

 

[lexxnchloe]

Looks like we have wasted the best pattern in years. Cold but as always nothing

 

[SnowNiner]

Was literally just coming here to say that I see we have “players on the field” so…..

All the players are on the field, except the QB (the storm) is sitting on the bench in the SW waving at us. We desperately need him on the field.

 

[Brent]

Looks like we have wasted the best pattern in years. Cold but as always nothing

Hey it's so bad here I may drive to Missouri. 9 inch climo and nothing good showing up

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Looks like we have wasted the best pattern in years. Cold but as always nothing

Be patient.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Be patient.

I have been sitting in the Docs waiting room for 6 years now and they still havent called my name. Patience running low.

 

[jeremyt]

Looks like we have wasted the best pattern in years. Cold but as always nothing

And hurricane season was over in early August!

 

[lexxnchloe]

And hurricane season was over in early August!

For here it never started. If DC gets 20 inches this month i really dont give a damn.

as in this:

 

[jeremyt]

For here it never started. If DC gets 20 inches this month i really dont give a damn.

as in this:

View attachment 158683

All of us can post one op model run of surface maps!

 

[lexxnchloe]

All of us can post one op model run of surface maps!

At least the trend has been so bad over the last 3 days the 384 hr maps cant show less snow for NC. Its all up from here, lol!!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

️ Model Bias
️ Wave not sampled
️ Got it right where we want it at this range
️ Precip always holds together than what the models are showing

Moving nicely down the list.

Next up: Don’t worry. Models always lose the storm and bring it back several days later

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

FV3 nailed that one storm

 

[tractor girl]

We gotta build snowpack to our north

and

Don't forget the NW trend, we're right where we want to be

 

[Arcc]

For posterity sake read first page….

Loading…

southernwx.com

#waybackmachine

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

We gotta build snowpack to our north

and

Don't forget the NW trend, we're right where we want to be

Shouldn’t be a problem building snowpack to the north