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Misc Cold Season Complaining

I remember the days where we would track a potential and be positive about it and nobody would get speared for being positive even if it failed. Those were the days. NE bomb baby MA event only RIP
Yea, its honestly sorta wild how many people are in here, but want to poo poo all over any potential storm discussion. Like dang guys, it's a weather forum, what else do you expect?

Discussing the potential(no matter how slight) is the main reason most of us are here, but it seems like some people are only here to try and poke fun at people doing just that.

The weirdest part is we know those guys want snow too, I think it's just a defense mechanism for them because they haven't properly managed their expectations in the past.
 
I'd just like to say that I personally dislike the AI models because every single run of them that shows snow or something, it's a complete debate on how accurate or not it is for every single run.

I selfishly want it to be completely wrong so the repetitive "how good was/is it" part goes away with every model run.
 
I'd just like to say that I personally dislike the AI models because every single run of them that shows snow or something, it's a complete debate on how accurate or not it is for every single run.

I selfishly want it to be completely wrong so the repetitive "how good was/is it" part goes away with every model run.
Let's be honest, this has been done with every model out there (especially the newest, everytime). It's part of the weather discussion imho
 
Let's be honest, this has been done with every model out there (especially the newest, everytime). It's part of the weather discussion imho

I think the best part about the "great AI model" is that they can't even be bothered to make decent maps for it. Hell, in fact, most of their maps for their whole suite suck. Imagine spending so much money and saying "okay, these maps are the best we can do."
 
I think the best part about the "great AI model" is that they can't even be bothered to make decent maps for it. Hell, in fact, most of their maps for their whole suite suck. Imagine spending so much money and saying "okay, these maps are the best we can do."
Yeah that's the part I don't get. It can't possibly be that hard to make better maps, especially if these models are meant to be next generation tools.
 
I don’t understand the mentality that the threat is slipping? It’s tenuous but it’s always been tenuous. Granted, it definitely strikes me as more of a NC/northward-centric threat at this point. I’d certainly feel better if I were in the DMV area.

The historic Gulf Coast Blizzard of January gives me a little hope that we don’t lose this one to the north (that one verified south compared to most modeling in the LR).
 
I don’t understand the mentality that the threat is slipping? It’s tenuous but it’s always been tenuous. Granted, it definitely strikes me as more of a NC/northward-centric threat at this point.

The historic Gulf Coast Blizzard of January gives me a little hope that we don’t lose this one to the north (that one verified south compared to most modeling in the LR).
It's not slipping. If anything it looks like things are tightening up on a jackpot for Northern NC/Southern VA. Still a long ways to go, but it's about the best look you could hope for if you live in that area.
 
I don’t understand the mentality that the threat is slipping? It’s tenuous but it’s always been tenuous. Granted, it definitely strikes me as more of a NC/northward-centric threat at this point. I’d certainly feel better if I were in the DMV area.

The historic Gulf Coast Blizzard of January gives me a little hope that we don’t lose this one to the north (that one verified south compared to most modeling in the LR).
The type of cold on that storm was obscene vs marginal at best this one is showing so far. In fact, that storm was extremely far south and the track never did come north. This one is pumping the SE ridge a lot lot more. The last one we were begging for any kind of riding at all vs complete suppression. We missed the phase and what could have been a historic winter storm ended up in a novelty event predominantly northern stream driven.
 
It does seem some are hoping for an ice storm instead of rain. This is a scenario where some places could get a substantial icing, so id be careful with those wishes, unless you're okay off grid for a bit.

I don't have intricate maps, but one would think that the Icon would have been a disaster as the heavier precipitation got going, and one would hope switching to rain for most.
 
It does seem some are hoping for an ice storm instead of rain. This is a scenario where some places could get a substantial icing, so id be careful with those wishes, unless you're okay off grid for a bit.

I don't have intricate maps, but one would think that the Icon would have been a disaster as the heavier precipitation got going, and one would hope switching to rain for most.
I have NEVER for the life of me why anyone would wish for an Ice Storm. To me that is as Stupid as one can get
 
I have NEVER for the life of me why anyone would wish for an Ice Storm. To me that is as Stupid as one can get
I mean, I get the whole excitement about different/rare weather, but man I don't like the way those heights pump on some of these runs and I definitely don't like maps, by paid services, that output ZR as snow and get everyone confused.
 
I mean, I get the whole excitement about different/rare weather, but man I don't like the way those heights pump on some of these runs and I definitely don't like maps, by paid services, that output ZR as snow and get everyone confused.
Agree They are not always depicted as Snow, And folks think they are looking at big totals of snow when it's sig ice!
 
I may not kill a deer this coming weekend, but you can bet your arse I'll kill a few mosquitos and Wasp Queens in South Alabama.
 
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