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Misc Cold Season Complaining

This feels like January 2011 all over again. As someone in central NC, that is not a good thing at all.
 
Man. I just got out of my winter wx bubble and watched footage of the fires going on in California. Would gladly take sunny and 55 if it prevented that. Just horrible.
 
bouncycorn said:
Interesting.
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You know what be nice? If there was a standard for where to put the model run info. Pick a damned side. Left side model run info. Right side valid at.

Clearly not aimed at bouncycorn. It’s screenshots from pivotal. Just a “we deserve nice things” complaint.

Always wasted brain cycles trying to figure out what looking at. Just sayin’ since maps were brought up as some cool idea to add new features for.
 
Stevo24 said:
You would think there’s no winter storm coming by looking around here.
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Because it's not according to GSP in the upstate. Will not reach Winter storm criteria only advisory levels.They did say WSW could be issued due to combination of snow and ice. But snowfall would have to reach 4 inches to do it
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
Because it's not according to GSP in the upstate. Will not reach Winter storm criteria only advisory levels.They did say WSW could be issued due to combination of snow and ice. But snowfall would have to reach 4 inches to do it
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somebody is getting 4” in gville county. Jimmy guarantee
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
somebody is getting 4” in gville county. Jimmy guarantee
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Yep I agree. Had to give Stevo a hard time. He's too excited lately lol. But GSP will probably have to play catch up once the front end thump occurs and it's apparent it's stronger than modeled. They will probably just issue a WWA until the snow is actually falling and then upgrade. Not a knock on them. They have to go by current data. And 1-3 is what they show as of now
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
Yep I agree. Had to give Stevo a hard time. He's too excited lately lol. But GSP will probably have to play catch up once the front end thump occurs and it's apparent it's stronger than modeled. They will probably just issue a WWA until the snow is actually falling and then upgrade. Not a knock on them. They have to go by current data. And 1-3 is what they show as of now
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Agree. I don’t think amounts will be crazy. Looks like around .5 qpf is about all we’ll have to work with but it should all be frozen even into the southern fringes of the upstate. Ground is cold. Road surfaces are cold. I still think this is a high impact event relatively speaking. It’s been a while. The one thing they have going for them is the highest impact days will be over the weekend. People will stay home.
 
4 pages overnight on the storm thread. Guess we didn't juice our qpf back up. Nuisance Saturday morning event incoming!!

Hope Atlanta gets a good storm at least, it's been a while for them. Somebody in the SE needs to score as these cold conditions with a "storm" in the gulf are going to be hard to reproduce.
 
I think the models have somewhat homed in on the path. I'm really hoping today we can have them reverse the QPF drop from the past days runs. At the very least have them stop dropping. I guess, this might also come down to short range models and now casting.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
somebody is getting 4” in gville county. Jimmy guarantee
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Agree as well as Oconee and Pickens. I look at it as if it were not a winter storm just rain and we may over performs due to lift and forcing. We almost always get way more precip than gsp forecasts. And that has been the case over the last month as well. It wouldn't surprise me to see some 6" reports from walhalla to salem and 4-5" down my way.
Mtn Rest and Brasstown areas possible 8".
 
Oconeexman said:
Agree as well as Oconee and Pickens. I look at it as if it were not a winter storm just rain and we may over performs due to lift and forcing. We almost always get way more precip than gsp forecasts. And that has been the case over the last month as well. It wouldn't surprise me to see some 6" reports from walhalla to salem and 4-5" down my way.
Mtn Rest and Brasstown areas possible 8".
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I almost went and got a generator when I saw those huge totals show up yesterday morning for my area. Now yes eventually it’s a good thing to have and I probably should get one, but I’m glad I didn’t just for this “storm”
 
Taking an average of all 0z models and 6z models on qpf in my were right at .67 with no real high end to skew it.
Figure dry air takes .15 of that away to saturate then we're all over a 5" event which would be a monster and stick around esp if it sleeps on the backend.
Color me excited but tempered...happily take 2-3!
 
KyloG said:
For Raleigh we need it to over perform precip and trend colder. Sounds like every winter event ever here. 🤦‍♂️
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Don't count on it seeing the overnight models. My iphone weather app shows partly sunny and 45 for Sat :)
 
Stevo24 said:
I almost went and got a generator when I saw those huge totals show up yesterday morning for my area. Now yes eventually it’s a good thing to have and I probably should get one, but I’m glad I didn’t just for this “storm”
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Yea you never know Stevo...i have had a Generac for years and it's a wonderful security to have. That week during Helene reminded me it was a good purchase. Its only a matter of time and we get a winter crippler and out of power for a week. And that's real bad during cold!
 
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