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Misc Cold Season Complaining

I bet this kind of setup with all the different variables drive these Mets crazy. Not saying it will happen but imagine giving everyone a winter storm warning with like 2 days to really prepare.

The local CAE office yesterday had said that it's a lot for the modeling to handle and nothing is going to be clearer for a while still. I still think no matter what, CAE is hosed precip type wise though.
 
0Z GFS would be a classic forecast of: Friday, rain, moderate at times, changing to snow after 4 pm, light winds from the west south-west., high of 39. Friday night, snow, accumulations of up to 4" possible. Temperature holding steady around 33 degrees. Winds out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph. I've lived through these before. It's hard hearing about the change over inching closer to you and hoping it keeps going.
 
Gonna be perfectly honest (I have plans already for Friday on the week...sort of), I'm going to have to try and sweet talk my way into a drive to Lincolnton or McCormick, SC if that actually happens to be what we see (or just do it on my own with my friend after teasing my parents a lot on what I had in mind).

I'm kinda desperate enough.

But then I don't know that the CMC is showing the same missed phase considering that I'm seeing a lot of icy mess.
 
0Z GFS would be a classic forecast of: Friday, rain, moderate at times, changing to snow after 4 pm, light winds from the west south-west., high of 39. Friday night, snow, accumulations of up to 4" possible. Temperature holding steady around 33 degrees. Winds out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph. I've lived through these before. It's hard hearing about the change over inching closer to you and hoping it keeps going.

That’s the most positive and snowy post Ive ever read from you. Good job bro!! lol. 😂
 
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With this scenario, leaving that baja low cutoff and left behind would give us another plausible opportunity in the following days. That energy would have to slide east at some point and most likely on the same latitude. Northern stream energy continues to dive south as that thing just marinates. I love to get my cart ahead of my horse.
Let's get 2 runs to look the same first
 
Yeah, it does not have to be below zero for snow. My biggest storm with 12 inches of snow in 2000 came with a temp of 32-33. For some reason though some people on here really want to see the single digit highs and -10-15 lows. I certainly do not.

With temps of 33-35 snow may fall but will not accumulate much.
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euro shifted north and no longer give me 8 :(

looking at 1-4 here depending on the fronto band experience before a mixed p-type bag before switching to snow showers monday night. 6/10 moderately excited, real bummer it happens on a sunday night
 
This looks like one of those classic 3" Snows Transition to Sleet with .25" of ice For upstate. I've Seen that Show way more times than not. That's just how CAD storms work around here
 
Things have never looked good for ATL. Another storm where the rich get richer
Agreed. I don't see any path to snow for the Atlanta area. All of the models are too warm at multiple levels of the atmosphere for the 1/10 storm. This one is all rain for us. I can't foresee any trends that would be strong enough to make a difference on temps. Most likely, the 850's will warm even more as we get closer and inch the snow line even further north. TN, NC mountains and maybe some northern NC areas look really good!
 
Agreed. I don't see any path to snow for the Atlanta area. All of the models are too warm at multiple levels of the atmosphere for the 1/10 storm. This one is all rain for us. I can't foresee any trends that would be strong enough to make a difference on temps. Most likely, the 850's will warm even more as we get closer and inch the snow line even further north. TN, NC mountains and maybe some northern NC areas look really good!
The euro AI is showing the North atlanta burbs getting buried. May be a little early to throw in the towel.
 
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