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Misc Cold Season Complaining

You would think that with all these professional social media meteorologist people, we would be a lot better at forecasting! It seems every single day there are 1000+ new social profiles forecasting the weather.
 
Euro AI is going to be known to have a cold bias soon. That's what I know.
 
Here's Jimmy after he gets a look at the Euro AI tonight

Excited Ultimate Warrior GIF by WWE
 
Speaking of cold bias etc. Did I read right a while back, that after throwing millions of dollars and a decade at the FV3, that NWS is trashing it? Or was that wishful thinking instead?
 
My spouse just said ā€œare we currently in the ā€˜are we so backā€™ or the ā€˜we are so outā€™ phase?ā€
Started to say ā€œ I mean the AI modelā€¦..but the GFSā€¦.but wave not cooperatingā€¦.weak sliderā€¦.ā€ But said, ā€œwe are waiting for the 00z runā€ and they said ā€œsounds like ā€˜we are so out for nowā€™ā€¦ā€¦šŸ˜’
 
To be perfectly fair, I do not remember a time that once the models went too warm for AL that they come back to cold.

Iā€™ve seen suppression turn into precip, but not with temps.
 
I admit, I will take the AIFS much more serious if it not only does well with the current event north of us, but also this disaster of an energy web next week.
Seriously. I am more interested in a model performance than I have ever been
 
Seriously. I am more interested in a model performance than I have ever been

The AIFS looked impressive in that gif someone posted with the incoming event.. so yeah.. id assume that's a big win 5 days or more out.

I haven't paid much attention to that event like the NC crew have
 
My spouse just said ā€œare we currently in the ā€˜are we so backā€™ or the ā€˜we are so outā€™ phase?ā€
Started to say ā€œ I mean the AI modelā€¦..but the GFSā€¦.but wave not cooperatingā€¦.weak sliderā€¦.ā€ But said, ā€œwe are waiting for the 00z runā€ and they said ā€œsounds like ā€˜we are so out for nowā€™ā€¦ā€¦šŸ˜’
My wife asks me whatā€™s it gonna do and Iā€™m just like ā€œI dunnoā€. Haha. She must think Iā€™m crazy
 
yā€™all reel in some good trends overnight. Iā€™ll be up at 4 am to read the dramatic build up then crash like the last several nights.
If the Complaining thread is at the top, go back to sleep
 
I bet this kind of setup with all the different variables drive these Mets crazy. Not saying it will happen but imagine giving everyone a winter storm warning with like 2 days to really prepare.
 
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