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Pattern Caperil 2021

SD

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I blame @Myfrotho704_ and @SD for this .. all that pushing for warmth and look where we’ve come ... now we got no severe weather, probably hot and humid conditions, and a mega drought incoming ... yalls grass ain’t getting any better in these conditions .. we all taking L’s now SHIIIIIIIIIII
maybe if we didn't have a dry NW flow for the past 3 weeks we would have had more rain and wouldn't need it now
 

BHS1975

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Well now I know I'm not crazy and it has been dry

From Greg Fishel on FB:

NUMBERS, PERCEPTIONS, AND REALITIES

Just a post about how one can use data or parts of data to make any point they so desire. For instance, isn't it perplexing that the period December 1 - February 28 was the second wettest winter on record at RDU, falling only .03" short of achieving first place. Then, along comes climatological Spring, and so far, we are the 8th driest on record, and if we go through Friday without any measurable rain, which is a distinct possibility, we will ascend to second place on the dryness ladder, with 2/3 of climatological spring behind us. Let's say this trend continues through May, and is followed by an unusually dry Summer and an unusually wet Fall. It would be very possible for one to look at the entire year and say "Just another uneventful, average year", while those who look at the year in more detail might say "I swear it rained every day last Winter, and I was so depressed. Then Spring came, and it was very pleasant but my grass started to look a little dry. Then Summer came with heat and a lack of rain, and the farmers really suffered. Finally those tropical systems in the Fall really made a mess of things with flooding." Of course all this is hypothetical, but details do matter. Anyone remember the -9ºF reading at RDU on January 21, 1985? We annihilated the old all-time record low of -2ºF by 7 full degrees, when the mercury plunged to -9ºF that morning. So that was a really cold winter, right? Nope! It was very close to average. Sometimes perception and reality are two entirely different entities. It always helps to verify one's hypothesis.
And the warming of the Arctic is making these swings commonplace.


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Interested to see how much this cirrus deck affects highs today. Looking for 84F here, GSP mentions this in the disco
"A little skeptical that the cirrus will thin out
as fast as guidance depicts, but that assumption seems to be due
to the better moisture pushing past the ridge axis."
 

SD

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Thanks. These are really good btw. Interested to see how high the area between CLT GSO FAY RDU gets
I'll try to post one later today around 4 that should catch the max hourly obs. I'm still not entirely sure if I can push those images out on our socials. There is so weird language in the WSV terms of use and I don't want to get us in trouble
 
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I'll try to post one later today around 4 that should catch the max hourly obs. I'm still not entirely sure if I can push those images out on our socials. There is so weird language in the WSV terms of use and I don't want to get us in trouble
What's WSV?
 
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