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Pattern Caperil 2021

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 55. Southeast wind 7 to 11 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.


Seems like we are going to bust way high tonight on QPF. Showers seem topical and everything seems to be heavier than what radar is presenting. It had gotten a little dry so we needed some good rain, but hoping things don't get out of hand.
 
EPS really shows the retrogression from a +PNA to -EPO to a -WPO, chance at a SER there or dumping more stuff out in the pacific and kickstarting another western ridge
 
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