I’ll help. The NAM tends to significantly overdo qpf. Is qpf up a lot vs earlier runs? Often it is twice as heavy as reality when it is much heavier than other models.
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Wintry April Fools? (1-2) Surprise Storm
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
I’ll help. The NAM tends to significantly overdo qpf. Is qpf up a lot vs earlier runs? Often it is twice as heavy as reality when it is much heavier than other models.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
850 low passes right over Charlotte. -6C 850's just to the NW of Charlotte. If the NAM has the right idea about the thermals, this one has legs folks....
This year it has actually been somewhat to dry with qpf, for example that ice event back in January, but I think it’s probably overdone here, also this snow is gonna be paste, so 10:1s aren’t that useful anyways
Wierd, snow soundings all over upstate of SC/western NC, it’s probably right, no joke, Lmaoo
Cad Wedge NC
Member
The entire column is solidly below freezing. Even at the surface it is at freezing. I don't see this map as being accurate at all. How's it not going to accumulate?
Fountainguy97
Member
NAM being the NAM tonight guys.
12km vs 3km is laughable
Follow 3km and be pleasantly surprised if more than that falls will be the way to play this one.
12km vs 3km is laughable
Follow 3km and be pleasantly surprised if more than that falls will be the way to play this one.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
You only get paste when part of the column is above freezing. The soundings don't support that. If the thermals are correct this could be greater than 10:1
Fountainguy97
Member
That image is a liquid to snow ratio image. It shows the rain:snow ratio and not accumulations. Such as 10:1 etc
This is just wrong plain and simple if it’s snowing like the NAM shows it’s accumulating lol
3km usually plays catch up with amount of moisture it’s usually too dry until we get close close
Snowflowxxl
Member
All the NAM products over did the "event" we had here in GA earlier this month? Whatever the hell was the one I wasted my time driving to Macon for. Had like 2-4 inches and it didnt even snow there.
I’m closer to the R/S line tho, anyways good lift in the DGZ, but a very close sounding
OBX needs to watch for waterspouts going on shore with this setup, lots of helicity
RGEM looked like the NAM
Interesting because it looks like the LP ticked west a little.
RGEM climbing on board
So it looks like Euro, NAM, RGEM ICON (further east at 00z) combo?
