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April 2024 Discussion

SD said:
Can see how tomorrow could overpeform vs models in a narrow corridor but I think most of this area will be too far north and walk away with less than .3, disappointing given the expanding D0 conditions. Really hope the clouds and breeze stick around Monday night or we will over perform on frost probably going to see a lot of 35-37s Tuesday morning
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Rain has timed itself perfectly here to keep me off the fishing pier. As an extra kick the hea iest rain is just close enough but stays away from MBY. Tomorrow that will change as the 3k nam has a nice cluster of heavy rain moving over the cape fear region
 
SD said:
It big hailed today in a lot of places
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My house had a hail storm but i was fishing in southport and now I'm back home and southports about to get nailed by a suspicious looking storm
 

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House took a lightning hit tonight. Not sure if it was a direct hit on the roof because there was no.fire or.visible.damage. so it xould have hit very nearby and traveled up the underground line. The hit was scary it was just a loud pop.and sharp bang and my house is screwed up so.insurance and an electrician will be next step.

Our overhead lights are dim and wont.come to.full brightness in most rooms. Some rooms they work fine, receptacles are working. Only one room doesn't have any lights or working receptacles and I can't get that breaker to reset on the panel.

Lost 2 TVs a PS5 a PS4 and a big screen TV along with our internet modem. They are all fried.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
It’s been really nice the last several days. Fired up the charcoal grill last night and went fishing earlier today. Perfect weather. Not looking forward to 50’s and rain tomorrow.
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Boy I'm the complete opposite; this summer like weather the past week has been the pitts! That front gonna feel AWESOME, and at least next week will feel seasonable.
 
Shaggy said:
House took a lightning hit tonight. Not sure if it was a direct hit on the roof because there was no.fire or.visible.damage. so it xould have hit very nearby and traveled up the underground line. The hit was scary it was just a loud pop.and sharp bang and my house is screwed up so.insurance and an electrician will be next step.

Our overhead lights are dim and wont.come to.full brightness in most rooms. Some rooms they work fine, receptacles are working. Only one room doesn't have any lights or working receptacles and I can't get that breaker to reset on the panel.

Lost 2 TVs a PS5 a PS4 and a big screen TV along with our internet modem. They are all fried.
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Good grief, sorry to hear that man. Hopefully someone can get out there quickly.
 
Rain Cold said:
Good grief, sorry to hear that man. Hopefully someone can get out there quickly.
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All major appliances are working. I can cook and eat and the emergency fee right off the top is $400 just to get one to come to the house before he does any work. Working with insurance now to get a claim started so they cover as much as possible.

Got to say overall the models have sucked with this event. Hrrr showed one weak line at 11pm last night but we had 4 storms yesterday 1 severe and the rest were hot as hell with lightning. Getting another line now with elevated thunder and I was suppose to get half an inch and I'm pushing 2 inches already.
 
Another line of storms.
 

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44 and rain at the house in Boone. Heading back to the RDU area this afternoon. We need rain in central NC. Hoping I come back to good soaking.
 
Nice steady rain all day...close to 0.5". Won't knock down the D0 probably, but it will effectively keep the grass and flowers looking good.
 
So end result from the lightning strike......22 blown light fixtures I'll have to replace, overhead garage door replaced, new internet box outside because it's fried, 2 tvs 2 Playstation.

One outlet shorted and I came close to having the house burn down. Had nails get so hot they scorched the front porch
 

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3 things #1 I don't see where much rain comes from the next 2 weeks in the carolinas and GA this ridge is going to be a menace unless we get an early start into mcs season, the rest of the region should do well with rain..

#2 It's still only 4/22 so another cold shot is likely before summer starts, if the gfs suite is right with a real mjo wave that would likely be around mid May. We may be way AN starting Sunday for a while but see #3

#3 this is a classic backdoor wedge pattern with energy breaking down the eastern side of the tall ridge through the NE and offshore. Really wouldn't be surprised the see days where the wedge areas are upper 60s to mid 70s for highs while other parts of the region are 80-90.

Edit adding a #4
As the ridge goes poleward the chances of something getting stuck underneath the main axis increases. Whether it comes from the west or backs down from the NE would be a big question mark
 
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Shaggy said:
So end result from the lightning strike......22 blown light fixtures I'll have to replace, overhead garage door replaced, new internet box outside because it's fried, 2 tvs 2 Playstation.

One outlet shorted and I came close to having the house burn down. Had nails get so hot they scorched the front porch
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Dang, man. That really sucks. Thankful the house didn't blow up! Does insurance pay for all of this at least?
 
SD said:
3 things #1 I don't see where much rain comes from the next 2 weeks in the carolinas and GA this ridge is going to be a menace unless we get an early start into mcs season, the rest of the region should do well with rain..

#2 It's still only 4/22 so another cold shot is likely before summer starts, if the gfs suite is right with a real mjo wave that would likely be around mid May. We may be way AN starting Sunday for a while but see #3

#3 this is a classic backdoor wedge pattern with energy breaking down the eastern side of the tall ridge through the NE and offshore. Really wouldn't be surprised the see days where the wedge areas are upper 60s to mid 70s for highs while other parts of the region are 80-90.

Edit adding a #4
As the ridge goes poleward the chances of something getting stuck underneath the main axis increases. Whether it comes from the west or backs down from the NE would be a big question mark
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#5. I've only heard thunder once this entire spring.
 
SD said:
Already 49 we are in big trouble tonight. I wouldn't be shocked to see a big killing freeze at this point I just don't see what's going to stop the free fall
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47 now. Brutal. Wonder how long it'll take crepe myrtle to come back
 
At 6am, lots of freezing temps in central NC. Roxboro, Sanford, and Franklin County airport all at 32. Many other locations (Like Smithfield) are just above at 33 or 34, which should hit 32 within the hour. RDU is at 37 and we can assume will not get down to freezing.
 
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