April 2024 Discussion

[SD]

The next 2-3 weeks will be interesting at least. Big surges of AN temps followed by big BN shots. I don't think the front late next week into the weekend has a lot of severe for our region unless we get a flatter lead wave but the following warm to cold evolution might be a little more supportive

 

[JHS]

The next 2-3 weeks will be interesting at least. Big surges of AN temps followed by big BN shots. I don't think the front late next week into the weekend has a lot of severe for our region unless we get a flatter lead wave but the following warm to cold evolution might be a little more supportive

This is looking a lot like 1989. We had had a roller coaster ride from February right through early May that year that featured a May freeze and a significant tornado outbreak just before the freeze. This week of warm weather looks a lot like the one we had in April 1989 right before things got crazy in May.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Beautiful weather here today. Did some yard work this afternoon.

 

[Chazwin]

Beautiful weather here today. Did some yard work this afternoon.

I got my garden spot turned over this afternoon. Won’t be long till I’m planting

 

[JTR]

Best guess for an outdoor wedding on 4/20 30 miles N of BHM? Rain?

 

[TheBatman]

Best guess for an outdoor wedding on 4/20 30 miles N of BHM? Rain?

Right now just a chance of showers.

 

[SD]

Have to watch the evolution of the trough next weekend the overnight models went away from an exceptionally deep trough to a flatter look which is still cool but opens the door to hang the front up and either overrun or develop a second low to move through the region. I know there's a lot of it's been so wet I don't need more rain talk but a select few of us are still actually in D0 conditions so I'd take it

 

[SD]

@Metwannabe special.

 

[Tarheel1]

@Metwannabe special. View attachment 147429

I always thought he was a little special!
The Tuesday outlook for severe, is a little concerning!

 

[Brent]

What a lovely June day were having

Supposedly 50s next weekend

 

[Brick Tamland]

@Metwannabe special. View attachment 147429

SPC doesn't have the level 1 threat in NC anymore. Par for the course.

 

[Rain Cold]

SPC doesn't have the level 1 threat in NC anymore. Par for the course.

There was not really ever much of an opportunity here. Just another 7-10 split type of a chance.

 

[Tarheel1]

 

[Brent]

Not record highs apparently

 

[Metwannabe]

For those of us in NC we are going to have to watch the backdoor front on Monday for some severe weather. There's a long history of hail events with this type of setup especially if we are able to get into the 70s 80s Monday afternoon

Gonna give it a go it seems, good call

 

[Brick Tamland]

86 and sunny. Splendid!

 

[SD]

SPC doesn't have the level 1 threat in NC anymore. Par for the course.

It actually opens the door for tomorrow. If we had better moisture and can realize capes 1000+ the approaching shear axis and residual sfc boundary could easily overperform vs the models (see 12z hrrr)

 

[Downeastnc]

It actually opens the door for tomorrow. If we had better moisture and can realize capes 1000+ the approaching shear axis and residual sfc boundary could easily overperform vs the models (see 12z hrrr)

HRRR tries to make things fun for your area tomorrow.....

 

[Rain Cold]

NAMs, WRFs, HRRR, RGEM are all extremely isolated south of the VA border. Maybe Met can squeeze something out. HRDPS is the only short range model with any enthusiasm for something more tomorrow.

 

[Tarheel1]

Can I post in here!?