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Pattern Anaphylactic August

SD said:
Models are busting pretty hard with that disturbance in Ga this morning and that's likely to have some effects on a lot of people's forecasts today through tomorrow morning

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Busted as in more rain than expected? HRRR looks on point.


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Far from everywhere. Not 1 storm in upstate SC now and not expecting any. GSP says most storms will be east of the area tomorrow then dry Tuesday. We really need a tropical system for widespread heavy rain in upstate SC in the summer. It's sad that the system that looked promising last week is not going to develop. The big story as this month goes on will be the developing drought. By Sept 1 moderate to severe drought will cover a good bit of NC and SC. Count on it. Then extreme to even exceptional by November 1.
 
JHS said:
Far from everywhere. Not 1 storm in upstate SC now and not expecting any. GSP says most storms will be east of the area tomorrow then dry Tuesday. We really need a tropical system for widespread heavy rain in upstate SC in the summer. It's sad that the system that looked promising last week is not going to develop. The big story as this month goes on will be the developing drought. By Sept 1 moderate to severe drought will cover a good bit of NC and SC. Count on it. Then extreme to even exceptional by November 1.
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No, we don’t really “need” a tropical system. That’s BS. And no it isn’t sad that 96L isn’t looking to develop.
You and others could get plenty of rain without a TC coming into the SE US and likely causing way more harm than good to all of the folks closer to the coast than you. All that’s needed is ample tropical moisture. Consider what happened in much of the SE with the “big wet” of early June.
 
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It’s still going, over 3.5, some pea size hail has mixed in at times with gusty winds, some areas around concord NC is dealing with flash flooding
 
Another monster crush
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Still pouring...?95F4D413-254B-4C91-8015-E901135482E0.png
 
GaWx said:
No, we don’t really “need” a tropical system. That’s BS. And no it isn’t sad that 96L isn’t looking to develop.
You and others could get plenty of rain without a TC coming into the SE US and likely causing way more harm than good to all of the folks closer to the coast than you. All that’s needed is ample tropical moisture. Consider what happened in much of the SE with the “big wet” of early June.
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The big wet did very little here.
 
JHS said:
The big wet did very little here.
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Yeah, this was supposed to be the rainiest day of the last 3 and next 2! The SD effect, 3” then none for 10+ days!?
 
The big dry will never fail us in the upstate. Or southern Wake apparently. Only a few more weeks and we'll be in the big dry. Sept thru Nov have to be the southeasts driest months on average.
 
SD said:
Please find one that matched the 8am radar I was referring to.

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I don’t have access to the radar archive but the 18z from yesterday did pretty good for my area.


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Going to be another dry day. These pop up storms are just not getting the job done. It is 100% going to take a tropical system for this area to get good rain. If it's going to be dry we may as well get 100+ heat going. This 90 and sunny every day is boring.
 
50% chance of storms here today according to RAH, but doubt we will see any if this drizzle keeps up.
 
Forecast here has gone from scattered storms and a chance of 50% to isolated storms and a chance of 30%.
 
Had another morning surprise this morning with some on and off light rain showers between 6:00 to 7:30. Didn’t drop much (.04), but I am now at 7 straight days of measurable rainfall as a result.

With rain coverage expected to die down some starting tomorrow I expect my streak will end at 7, but I would love another surprise.
 
BufordWX said:
Had another morning surprise this morning with some on and off light rain showers between 6:00 to 7:30. Didn’t drop much (.04), but I am now at 7 straight days of measurable rainfall as a result.

With rain coverage expected to die down some starting tomorrow I expect my streak will end at 7, but I would love another surprise.
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Damn I haven't had 7 days of rain all pooping summer!
 
Ended up getting a good shower at the office, and there are storms around after they lowered the chances and went from scattered to isolated storms. Go figure.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Ended up getting a good shower at the office, and there are storms around after they lowered the chances and went from scattered to isolated storms. Go figure.
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Where do you get your forecast and those percentages? The NWS actually has had your area at 60% all day and decreasing to 30% tonight
 
Now under a flash flood warning.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
428 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2019

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Wake County in central North Carolina...

* Until 730 PM EDT

* At 426 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated a line of strong
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Up to
one inch of rain has already fallen, with an addition one to two
inches possible over the next hour. Flash flooding is expected to
begin shortly, especially in urban centers like Raleigh, Cary,
Apex, and Wake Forest. Visibility will also likely be reduced on
area roadways, which will lead to hazardous travel conditions.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Raleigh, Cary, Wake Forest, Garner, Rdu International, Apex,
Morrisville, Lake Wheeler, William B Umstead State Park and Lake
Benson.
 
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