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Pattern Anaphylactic August

Missed again. Not sure why I expect anything different

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I mean this looks like a classic SD/RC rain shield split job here .03 so far..... still one more shot incoming
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I mean this looks like a classic SD/RC rain shield split job here .03 so far..... still one more shot incoming
71f231ee930a6c32199b26b3eb91b680.gif


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I would love for the radar to look likethat

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Just wondering, are you guys in a serious drought and need the rain or just excited about getting storms?
 
day 1 of the heat wave here... I'm already done lol

bring on fall

no real drought here either(we had a ton of rain in the spring and early summer which has up til now kept a lid on the heat) but August is our driest month so dry isn't really a surprise
 
I would love for the radar to look likethat

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Lol... it has. I picked up .03 and that line falling apart. You've imparted your dry voodoo on me


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I think this week proves that teleconnections don't mean a whole lot in the Summer months.

We got a -NAO/+PNA right now and we're still seeing above average temps.
 
Lol... it has. I picked up .03 and that line falling apart. You've imparted your dry voodoo on me


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That's brutal I've at least been able to put together a respectable but still below normal total over the last 2 weeks

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SPC says there's still a threat for severe storms.

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Mesoscale Discussion 1667
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 PM CDT Wed Aug 07 2019

Areas affected...Eastern North Carolina and eastern Virginia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 560...

Valid 071925Z - 072030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 560
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues in watch 560.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms has developed from northern North
Carolina into southeast Virginia. These storms will continue to move
east into an environment with around 2500 J/kg MLCAPE. Effective
shear around 35-40 knots per area VWPs will continue to support
storm organization. Relatively weak mid-level lapse rates should
continue to limit the hail threat to only a few isolated reports.
RAX and AKQ VWP show weak flow below 4 km which is likely why severe
winds have also been somewhat limited up to this point. However,
sub-severe damaging winds remain a threat through the afternoon and
evening with an isolated threat for severe wind gusts from any
stronger storms.
 
That's brutal I've at least been able to put together a respectable but still below normal total over the last 2 weeks

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Update: .05 today bringing the grand total since the deluge on June 23, 15 days ago to .09.
It's not horribly dry but it's just funny to me how persistent this "feast or famine" pattern is
 
Mostly sunny here now. Setting the stage for another round of storms?
 
It certainly hasn't been wet....

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Last weeks drought index had me in dry or abnormally dry! Anxiously awaiting tomorrows good news!?
 
Mostly sunny here now. Setting the stage for another round of storms?
I doubt it. The spc mesoanalysis says there is a good amount of mlcape left over the area but any updraft that has tried to get going behind this lead wave and outflow boundary has died. Its going to take another strong wave to provide enough lift to overcome some subsidence and get things to fire up. Watch the I85 corridor over the next 1-2 hours to see what gets going there, if storms fire and start rolling east maybe we have a chance but I think the more likely scenario is a few isolated storms after dark with the best chance of that being along and south of the outflow from the early day storms

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