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Pattern Ablazing August

SD said:
Looking good. As an average for the area they are probably spot on but at least a few places will do ok with the front and 99l moisture next week but some of us will likely be near 0. Think we might do a little better days 10-20 but it's like chasing snow in January right now
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I'm just sitting here waiting for the remnants to shift farther west and i'll join you in the 0 column.
 
Two things I’m noticing after finally getting to look at models this morning.
1. I think the GSP to CLT corridor may have a legitimate chance at making a run at 100 on Sunday and Monday. Sinking air out ahead of what looks to be a strong hurricane on the central Gulf coast could spike temperatures a few degrees… it’s just going to be a matter of how much cloud cover is pulled out ahead.

2. With the strength of that block and the associated trough with it trending stronger, we may still see some eastward shifts to the track of 99I… especially on its track inland.
 
Morning fog and convection out to my West, gonna screw my severe storms this afternoon! Of course, since I’m off and could chase and get cool pics! ??
 
Chazwin said:
Two things I’m noticing after finally getting to look at models this morning.
1. I think the GSP to CLT corridor may have a legitimate chance at making a run at 100 on Sunday and Monday. Sinking air out ahead of what looks to be a strong hurricane on the central Gulf coast could spike temperatures a few degrees… it’s just going to be a matter of how much cloud cover is pulled out ahead.

2. With the strength of that block and the associated trough with it trending stronger, we may still see some eastward shifts to the track of 99I… especially on its track inland.
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Welcome to the 100 train this weekend.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Gonna be some top notch sunsets with the outflow
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Speaking of, saw a neat thing last night. The sun was already below the horizon, but was illuminating the underside of some upper level cirrus clouds. While i was looking at that, a plane flew under the cirrus and started reflecting at me like a mirror.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Starting to get 2018 vibes lol, I’m sure tho with the blocking something will eventually make it east and cool down
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10-14 days away from that unless Ida can get picked up and infused into the trough next week. Interesting how much blocking the gfs has versus its mean and we are getting to a point in the year where it's going to yield wildly different results between below normal and continued summer. Always bet warm until proven otherwise
 
Certainly interesting seeing the past few Gfs runs after the Remnants of IDA lifts out it actually brings some quite pleasant weather our way for a couple days … would be nice if that held true
 
Heat heat and more heat here

Its supposed to cool off slightly but with Ida going east not sure I believe that
 
SD said:
Interesting little mcv might get going in the NE today and slowly sink down the coast. Increases storm chances for @metwannabe and potentially as far W as RDU. It may also help keep temps in the 94-97 range.
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Might clip NE NC, not sure it gets this far west unless an OFB can push this far and spark an isolated storm or two. 3k NAM shows this tomorrow night late but I'm not getting my hopes up lol
 
metwannabe said:
Might clip NE NC, not sure it gets this far west unless an OFB can push this far and spark an isolated storm or two. 3k NAM shows this tomorrow night late but I'm not getting my hopes up lol
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Looks like most models want to have some type of composite ofb/inverted trough deal extending from the mcv inland. This is much better than death ridge
 
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