4/11/20 - 4/13/20 Severe Weather Outbreak

[Deleted member 527]

Oof.View attachment 38919

Ouch. Being in TN not liking the trend.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

The good thing is that the Atlanta metro area looks less bad then west and south of ATL.


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The immediate metro maybe. But from Newnan to Carrollton it could get ugly

 

[NoSnowATL]

The immediate metro maybe. But from Newnan to Carrollton it could get ugly

Yea that’s why I said better then west and south of the metro. That Newman to Carrollton line always get in the action . My guess one of the 2 mention get under a tornado warning.


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[Myfrotho704_]

What model is this ?!? Holy ----

 

[Zander98al]

What model is this ?!? Holy ----

Man that's worst case scenario?

 

[Trody17]

Not to sure. But I can said don’t look good at all.


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[Dewpoint Dan]

A part of me is skeptical because lets face it, how many storms live up to their "historic" hype. But then i remember April 2011 lived up to its hype. Im not comparing this to that one, just saying i guess anything is possible.

 

[BufordWX]

What model is this ?!? Holy ----

I find that hard to believe especially since it looks like it is showing some supercell like storms with the wave moving through in the morning.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

In NC/SC/GA also been noticing high Dcape values ahead of the QLCS 900-1200, could add on to the damaging wind threat

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I find that hard to believe especially since it looks like it is showing some supercell like storms with the wave moving through in the morning.

Likely showing elevated supercells in the morning

 

[Myfrotho704_]

are you seeing similar for WS/GSO? TIA

Maybe less cape but strong wind fields still

 

[Zander98al]

Likely showing elevated supercells in the morning

Unless somehow they manage to become surface based. Was reading a meteorologists post that its unlikely but is a possiblity. Storm systems like to have a suprise or two. Itd be a big suprise if a supercell gets rooted along the northward moving warm front

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Been noticing this being thrown around, and now I remember why, smoke was possibly the reason why that high risk busted last year in OK, but in 2011 this was shown to have made the outbreak worse, hmm ?

 

[Keldeo]

What model is this ?!? Holy ----

The only thing that throws me off is why does the Model want to develop Super Cells in Western/Central Arkansas?

 

[ryan1234]

The NAM keeps showing a bubble of high STP values moving north from SC into the Southern Piedmont. Is that related to the warm front?

 

[Zander98al]

Been noticing this being thrown around, and now I remember why, smoke was possibly the reason why that high risk busted last year in OK, but in 2011 this was shown to have made the outbreak worse, hmm ?
View attachment 38922

Shoot i remeber seeing that too. What a coincidence.

 

[Arcc]

Events like this one are very interesting to see unfold, high boom or bust potential.

 

[ryan1234]

Events like this one are very interesting to see unfold, high boom or bust potential.

If it does bust, it will most likely be on the tornado threat. I think the wind threat will remain.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The only thing that throws me off is why does the want to develop Super Cells in Western/Central Arkansas?

Cold pocket aloft with how dynamic the system is, be some large hail back there

 

[Jrips2710]

Good thread for Alabama folks