4/11/20 - 4/13/20 Severe Weather Outbreak

[ryan1234]

I just read the AFD for GSP (I know, I'm late) and I don't think I have ever seen them use wording like that before.

 

[Jessy89]

I just read the AFD for GSP (I know, I'm late) and I don't think I have ever seen them use wording like that before.

Can you post that


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[ryan1234]

Euro's usually overkill on winds correct?

Usually. But some of the local inhouse modeling suggests that we could indeed see wind gusts over 60, even without the storms.

 

[Trody17]

It looks nasty coming though middle Tennessee

 

[NWTENN]

It might be helpful to edit the thread title to include the date, particularly if this storm ends up being historically important. Just a thought.

 

[Zander98al]

What the heck is the BAMS model?

 

[Webberweather53]

It might be helpful to edit the thread title to include the date, particularly if this storm ends up being historically important. Just a thought.

Fixed

 

[Lostnthaweather85]

BMX going with a 5 out of 5 for their confidence level for tornadic thunderstorms Sunday. Very rare!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

NAM is STILL trending towards more last minute stream separation and building heights ahead of the system

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Thank you mods for changing the title because Easter for most of us will be safe from any severe wx unless you are west west

 

[Rain Cold]

Thank you mods for changing the title because Easter for most of us will be safe from any severe wx unless you are west west

Stop posting dumb things on purpose, please.

 

[SD]

Thank you mods for changing the title because Easter for most of us will be safe from any severe wx unless you are west west

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Thank you mods for changing the title because Easter for most of us will be safe from any severe wx unless you are west west

Easter will be safe for most of us ? Im pretty sure GA and AL are under the gun on Easter. That's a good chunk of this board.

 

[BufordWX]

 

[Zander98al]

I dont like spann saying that ??. Lets hope a lot of this fizzles out

 

[Cadi40]

So would you say chances for an outbreak especially in the Carolinas are going up as of now?

 

[Snowfan]

 

[ryan1234]

So would you say chances for an outbreak especially in the Carolinas are going up as of now?

It's about the same as it was yesterday and this morning. If this system manages to slow down, then we are in trouble. Also, we need to watch where that warm front ends up on Sunday. If we don't stay wedged in for as long as some modeling depicts, that will increase the tornado threat even more.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Slowing down

 

[Arcc]

NAM is STILL trending towards more last minute stream separation and building heights ahead of the system View attachment 38909

Too much separation and SE ridge flex will equal warmer air aloft.