I’m in the camp that the risk area is too high. Not that I think tonight can’t be dangerous or strong tornadoes can’t occur, but I’ve seen much more dangerous setups with lower risk classification.
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Severe 3/17/21 Severe Weather Outbreak Al/Ms/Tn/Ar nowcast
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Snowflowxxl
Member
The High Risk issued at 2:00am this mooring was really poorly placed.
Exactly why if I ever chased Dixie, I would chose the southern parts of these setups
How is this not tor warned, has a rotating wall cloud 
I was wondering about the same thing.
Just got warned.
That BWER tho and yep tor warned
bingcrosbyb
Member
Looks impressive best storm in 3 hours.
2 areas of rotation 
Stormsfury
Member
Damn just like the Neeses, SC last year in the overnight hours...lets see if they do a dance around each other
Oh WOW
Parker
Member
This is a PDS watch?
Ive seen uglier looking radars with the summertime complexes that come down from our NW.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I wonder when a Tornado Watch will be issued for GA ? With a PDS watch literally on the border of GA i'm guessing a tornado watch is pretty much a guarantee.
HSVweather
Member
DISCUSSION...Widespread strong to severe storms are ongoing across
much of northern Alabama. Storms have transitioned to a
predominately linear mode over the last two hours, suggesting a
shift toward a damaging wind threat. However, strong low-level shear
(0-1km SRH 400 m2s2) as sampled from the HTX radar and university
soundings remains in place across northern Alabama and southern
Tennessee. As storms move east into more marginal buoyancy, (250-500
J/kg MUCAPE) along and northeast of the diffuse frontal zone
tonight, there remains a chance for a tornado along with the threat
of damaging wind gusts. The threat will likely begin to decrease
after 03 to 04Z as storms move into an increasingly unfavorable
environment for severe weather.
Also — do these QLCS/squall lines EVER move through as slowly as modeled? It seems like no matter the forecast, once the line is in Mississippi you can count on the event being over within 3-4 hours (for Birmingham) every single time
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
The decision to A. Keep the high risk in place and B. Issue an additional PDS watch are a real head scratcher.