HSVweather
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Severe 3/17/21 Severe Weather Outbreak Al/Ms/Tn/Ar nowcast
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Fountainguy97
Member
fully agree. And honestly we did see some strong tornado signatures today even through all this. Goes to show how much worse this could have been. I’m no severe expert at all but seems like our lack of helicity can be blamed. Today was not a day where every single cell spun up instantly. I’ve seen cells form and have tornadoes on the ground in 15-20min. I believe the mid April 2011 NC outbreak had a cell go tor warned 10-15min After forming. Today seemed much harder for tornadoes to form.
The bust conversation always comes up and I’m just as guilty as the next. But really hindsight is 20/20. This morning there certainly was a legit argument for high risk although maybe not the most prolific event. Personally I think high risk (or the top tier threat level) should be reserved for the most prolific outbreaks to preserve a level of respect that this event is going to be something beyond normal. An extreme event. Under that opinion today probably wouldn’t fall into that category. But I’m not the one in charge so who cares what I think
The closest thing in my mind to 4/27/11 was the day of the Beauregard tornado. Now that event still would have fell well short, but add a stronger EML and move the system north 200 miles. Oh my.
Another thing to is that typically dewpoints/temps are lower in March vs April at this time on average which matters quite a bit in severe wx setups, that’s probably a flaw to comparing March setups with April setups, for ex in March you could be getting 73/65 vs 78/68 in April
That setup was disgusting, it had more potential to be more nasty then it was
Awesome take (thread)
Wouldn’t be surprised if there wasn’t a spin up in that short lived meso near Kellyton. A little close for comfort.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Tornado Watch for the Western and Southern Atlanta Metro.
bnathanb1982
Member
I feel for the folks at NWS that are responsible for issuing the outlooks and trying to decide what threat level this or any event is. It's really a no win situation for them....Had they went more conservative with their guidance and we had a more severe outbreak we would be criticizing them for not doing enough....same thing goes the other way....a lot of people are now saying how they shouldn't have been so bullish in their approach to today's system. Damned if you do and damned if you don't
????
Snowflowxxl
Member
Weak sauce storms here tonight. Couple rumbles of Thunder at best.
Didn’t hear any thunder here, and going to have less than an inch of rain for the past three days.
campamy
Member
Coolest part of the storm so far. The wind is sooooooo loud outside but it's not all transporting down. Occasional gust hits, but it's a continuous roar and then louder at times even though the line has already gone through. It woke the kids up! Just eerie hearing it so loud higher up but not ground level.
NoSnowJoe
Member
My hugest wind gust as the line of dying storms went through my area, 4.5 mph. Lol! Not quite the 75 mph forecast. The wedge is king, once again!
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I think for the exception of SE GA, the good old “timing” helped us again.
I feel for the folks at NWS that are responsible for issuing the outlooks and trying to decide what threat level this or any event is. It's really a no win situation for them....Had they went more conservative with their guidance and we had a more severe outbreak we would be criticizing them for not doing enough....same thing goes the other way....a lot of people are now saying how they shouldn't have been so bullish in their approach to today's system. Damned if you do and damned if you don't
The only criticism that should be given is for keeping the high risk in last nights update.