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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot

Funny...12Z Goofus wants to do this:

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The GEFS doesn't agree. I wants to just have spokes breaking off and crossing Cuba headed NNE to ENE. Such a long dart throw for the operational side.
 
Changed the circle.....looks like a gulf thang....50%

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200 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea by the end of the week. Gradual
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could
form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts
generally northward or northwestward over the central or western
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
 
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