Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot

[JHS]

View attachment 153718

Still out there at hour 228 and not moving much. It cannot go very far north or east either, with the upper air pattern like it is.

 

[severestorm]

If this was a month or two ago the hype would be out of control

View attachment 153710

Jesus please not again! Give us a winter storm instead!

 

[Henry2326]

Up to 80%....invest this weekend

 

[Brick Tamland]

Maybe it will die off in the Gulf if we're lucky.

 

[Brent]

Maybe it will die off in the Gulf if we're lucky.

I certainly don't think the Gulf will be as favorable now. Hence my comment earlier

 

[$alt]

I'm in favor of a weak mess like the recent Canadian showed. Moisture lifts up through the region for beneficial rain. An actual storm, no way.

 

[Henry2326]

Good Lord....I don't think I've ever seen such tight consistency up through hour 132.

 

[Henry2326]

Not as tight, but still the same message.

 

[Henry2326]

I'm in favor of a weak mess like the recent Canadian showed. Moisture lifts up through the region for beneficial rain. An actual storm, no way.

The last 3 runs have been the same with the first being a cane.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Up to 80%....invest this weekend

View attachment 153719

Here is the likely storm in the upper right and the possible cane to the south

 

[$alt]

I haven't been looking closely, but I've noticed there is some kind of trough/ull feature that could guide this thing north if it came to be.

NOT A FAN.

 

[Henry2326]

Icon agrees with part of GEFS

 

[Shaggy]

Meanwhile we have a storm in the far reaches of the Atlantic named Patty. Looks good on satellite

 

[lexxnchloe]

 

[vtrap90]

The Azores islands of Portugal are in the path of Patty.

 

[SD]

Interesting how the overnight euro and cmc develop a PRE across the region mid to late week. That's a big moisture envelope getting hooked into the region aided by the SER.

 

[Henry2326]

06z..... getting closer to Icon and ensemble spot.

 

[Brent]

We have invest 97L

 

[Henry2326]

We have invest 97L

Looks like it's not going to Mexico.....

 

[Henry2326]

60/80.....right on schedule