Severe 2024 Severe Discussion

[jrips27]

Slight risk out for portions of TN, AL, and GA this evening

 

[Downeastnc]

Tor OTG on a really sad looking storm

 

[Brick Tamland]

Level 2 threat for NC, SC and FL today. Level 3 in TX and OK.

 

[Shaggy]

Level 2 threat for NC, SC and FL today. Level 3 in TX and OK.

View attachment 147740

If the hrrr that just ran is correct my backyard should see a cluster of strong storms right over cape fear region that dumps a ton of rain. Imagine a few of them might be severe as well. Already had a big storm roll east along the southern beaches this morning.

 

[SD]

Level 2 threat for NC, SC and FL today. Level 3 in TX and OK.

View attachment 147740

It's going to be a level 0 if we don't get out of this soup this morning.

That said seems like this setup is going to favor along and S of 40.

 

[Shaggy]

It's going to be a level 0 if we don't get out of this soup this morning.

That said seems like this setup is going to favor along and S of 40.

We broke out right behind a storm that rolled south of me this morning. Getting plenty of sun down here right now and the hrrr is still giving me 3+ totals tonight

 

[Rain Cold]

We broke out right behind a storm that rolled south of me this morning. Getting plenty of sun down here right now and the hrrr is still giving me 3+ totals tonight

Low clouds aint going anywhere around here for a long time.

 

[Shaggy]

Low clouds aint going anywhere around here for a long time.

Seems those low clouds always hang on longer than expected.

 

[jeremyt]

Models look ripe for SE Harnett this afternoon.

 

[Brick Tamland]

It's going to be a level 0 if we don't get out of this soup this morning.

That said seems like this setup is going to favor along and S of 40.

Not surprised. I don't even get a storm 90% of the time if there's anything higher than a 1 from the SPC the last few years.

 

[Shaggy]

All the sun did here was lead to a faster initiation big cumulus is going up now so the storm should be breaking out all over the Cape Fear area

 

[Brick Tamland]

And the level 2 risk has been moved south of the Triangle. Maybe I will actually get a storm now.

 

[Shaggy]

And the level 2 risk has been moved south of the Triangle. Maybe I will actually get a storm now.

Sort of confused by the MD saying the fronts down along the NC/SC border and storms will be along and south of that amd them they issue a STW for areas well to the north of the border.

 

[SD]

70 mph gusts in this watch dang

 

[Shaggy]

In line for potential hailer inbound

 

[Brick Tamland]

Nothing at all in the Triangle again.

 

[jhoodatlga]

Nothing at all in the Triangle again.

Yeah the slight risk for North GA yesterday failed to materialize (nothing new)!

 

[Brick Tamland]

Really getting hard to believe the SPC outlooks for around here when they end up dropping the risk and there's not any storms at all. I am talking specifically for my area. That's two times in a row they had a level 2 risk here only to drop it and there not be any storms at all. And that happens more often than not now.

 

[Shaggy]

Tor OTG on a really sad looking stormView attachment 147737

Ended being rated an EF0

 

[jrips27]

Downtown Houston just got hit hard with straight line winds. 35% of the county has no power