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Tropical 2023 Tropical thread

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tractor girl said:
Disburbance 2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands is
producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form this weekend or early next week while the system moves
generally westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

View attachment 137098
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The GFS has been all over the place with it. Keep us updated.
 
12Z HRRR not far off everything else...

hrrr_ref_frzn_seus_43.png
 
Radio met, 101.5 this morning said this isn’t good news for NE NC. I’m assuming this means it’s not going to develop and bring them the much needed rain they’ve been clamoring for.
 
Looking at the latest 3k NAM, it’s very much in line with globals in terms of the track now. Even though it looks like it deepens a bit quicker, it only bottoms out around 985mb… still a bit to low, but definitely not as crazy as it was earlier. Also just out of curiosity is there going to be a thread starting since the NHC now has it as an invest?
 
Chazwin said:
Looking at the latest 3k NAM, it’s very much in line with globals in terms of the track now. Even though it looks like it deepens a bit quicker, it only bottoms out around 985mb… still a bit to low, but definitely not as crazy as it was earlier. Also just out of curiosity is there going to be a thread starting since the NHC now has it as an invest?
Click to expand...

it's been posted if you read a few comments above

Invest 99 thread here: https://southernwx.com/community/threads/99l.1228/
Click to expand...
 
Haven't had too many days in September without a named system in the basin. If 90L gets classified today which it likely will then the stretch continues
 
Finally seeing the surge tide blow back out.....

pamn7_hg.png


This is a newer gauge here in Greenville and today set the record crest for this gauge final value not yet determined....previous highest was 8.53 ft, for those familar with Greenville this is over by the football stadium, Charles Blvd is underwater at the train overpass.....again.

gvln7_hg.png
 
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