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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

Winter storm process
1. Pattern looks good
2. Huge storm appears
3. Huge storm disappears
4. Huge storm reappears but is ice/ rain for many
5. NAM gives us false hope
6. I get ice or rain
7. Frosty gets a foot
The funny thing about Frosty is, every snow, he panics and says not looking good up here in Wilkesboro, yadda, only an inch, and he does always end up with a foot!!
 
I haven't found an issue, please advise
Are you gonna find a way to rain this weekend? I’ve heard cold air won’t be an issue
 
RDU's gonna win again and then go right back to acting like they haven't seen a significant snowfall in 40 years. Correct me if I'm wrong, but RDU has seen say a 5"+ snowfall more recently than CLT? Maybe I'm just being a bitter wieners.
 
RDU's gonna win again and then go right back to acting like they haven't seen a significant snowfall in 40 years. Correct me if I'm wrong, but RDU has seen say a 5"+ snowfall more recently than CLT? Maybe I'm just being a bitter wieners.
The last 5" snow at RDU itself was December 2018.

RDU is like Charlotte in that the metro area has a big footprint. Much like Davidson always does better than the rest of Mecklenburg, southern wake does much worse than the rest of the area. It has been a while for them but i've only lived here for four years. @SD @Rain Cold can correct me if wrong.
 
Central Alabama Snow: "Hope is having faith expecting good results" All hope is gone! ;)
 
Why was my first call map deleted? Hell it’s close to the German/icon/gfs blend now
 
The NAM had a pretty stout warm layer around 850mb at the 84 hour time stamp, at least in my area.
I'm not saying it didn't but that particular post that I responded to was a surface temp map and calling that the warm nose, which isn't correct and I just didn't want newcomers to start getting more confused than they may already be.
 
Really happy that none of the models over the last few runs are trending to the big Euro ice storm mess (which I think/hope is wrong). Good to see better cold filtering in in tandem with the precipitation. Fingers crossed for the UK to be right for once.
 
This Covid mess has my mind all messed up past couple of days. I don’t know why, I’m never like this. Feeling very weak from being sick and the only thing that perks me up is this Forum.
 
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