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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

cd2play said:
Like driving the football field deep into the red zone and fumbling the ball
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We have 11 men on the field, we have a 1st and goal, the wind is behind us, the fans are excited. Our play book has like 2 plays.


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Broken024 said:
Keep waiting for the rug pull. Just doesn't seem to want to be pulled.
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Kinda agree, think about the huge rug pull last year!! ?. I'm right now choosing to stay optimistic that the general favorable patterns stays. But admittedly, the really good pattern looks to get going about 10 days out. That's a lot of time for something to go wrong IMO. Cold, cold pattern seems to be 2 weeks away. Queue the Peele sweating gif.
 
Rain Cold said:
GFS looks great. Right where we want it.
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Agreed. At this range we're looking at pattern only anyway right? Certainly not a time to go all in or out from run to run...

But who am I to complain? See-sawing reactions are for the whamby thread. So I'll just sit back and enjoy all the highs and lows for the next 8+ days. ?
 
This gfs run missed for the reasons you want to miss at these lead times. It's hard to keep a pattern driven by the pacific with meager to no north Atlantic blocking suppressed. The fact the gfs sheared/suppressed nearly every wave makes me happy if we had repeated bombs across the SE and up the EC we might as well go ahead and send congrats to toledo
 
SD said:
This gfs run missed for the reasons you want to miss at these lead times. It's hard to keep a pattern driven by the pacific with meager to no north Atlantic blocking suppressed. The fact the gfs sheared/suppressed nearly every wave makes me happy if we had repeated bombs across the SE and up the EC we might as well go ahead and send congrats to toledo
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Exactly...dont want a bomb modeled yet
 
Rain Cold said:
GFS looks great. Right where we want it.
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giphy.gif



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Myfrotho704_ said:
Man this is stuff @Rain Cold and @Jimmy Hypocracy obsesses over, high pressure high pressure high pressure. LolView attachment 102806View attachment 102807
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I’m not sure I’ve ever really seen this type of cross polar flow on any modeling that I can remember over the past twenty years. The constant parade of highs straight from Siberia is crazy, and could very well keep things cold for several weeks. i know that it could all fall apart tomorrow, but it’s very impressive to see.
 
packfan98 said:
I’m not sure I’ve ever really seen this type of cross polar flow on any modeling that I can remember over the past twenty years. The constant parade of highs straight from Siberia is crazy, and could very well keep things cold for several weeks. i know that it could all fall apart tomorrow, but it’s very impressive to see.
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IMHO there is too much overwhelming support on indexes and teleconnections to doubt that a period of sustained cold is coming…let’s see about magnitude and true duration.


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packfan98 said:
I’m not sure I’ve ever really seen this type of cross polar flow on any modeling that I can remember over the past twenty years. The constant parade of highs straight from Siberia is crazy, and could very well keep things cold for several weeks. i know that it could all fall apart tomorrow, but it’s very impressive to see.
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From this range at least, February 2021, January 2019, January 2018, February 2015, January and February 2014 come to mind with the sfc high signal
 
SnowNiner said:
Where do you all get these wonderful gifs, and how do I post them? I want in.

And please keep the positivity coming, it's delightfully encouraging.
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I search very specific phrases and add gif on the end then look through the results. Typically I end up going down a rabbit hole and saving a bunch for future use. You can click the attach file button
Here:Screenshot_20220108-190444_Chrome.jpg
And load them from you phone
 
SD said:
This gfs run missed for the reasons you want to miss at these lead times. It's hard to keep a pattern driven by the pacific with meager to no north Atlantic blocking suppressed. The fact the gfs sheared/suppressed nearly every wave makes me happy if we had repeated bombs across the SE and up the EC we might as well go ahead and send congrats to toledo
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☝️☝️this
 
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