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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

YetAnotherRDUGuy said:
Alright alright fine. I'll post predictions anywayz ?‍♂️ ?

Person, Orange, Chatham, Moore, Scotland and all counties west of there I've got as WWW's. All east of there (Wake, Durham included) are WWA's. Exceptions are Sampson, Wayne, and Edgecombe.

Least confident on Chatham, but they're showing warning criteria for ice in SW corner, and for snow in NW corner.
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Thanks Blaes
 
You ever notice how models never trend colder and snowier as we get close to go time? Probably a good thing to note for future storms. Need to be sitting at -10C at all layers of the atmosphere and unanimous model agreement on 3' of snow 48 hours out to get 4-6" before the change to rain.
 
Rain Cold said:
You ever notice how models never trend colder and snowier as we get close to go time? Probably a good thing to note for future storms. Need to be sitting at -10C at all layers of the atmosphere and unanimous model agreement on 3' of snow 48 hours out to get 4-6" before the change to rain.
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Ehh they’ve trended colder here plenty of times
 
Rain Cold said:
You ever notice how models never trend colder and snowier as we get close to go time? Probably a good thing to note for future storms. Need to be sitting at -10C at all layers of the atmosphere and unanimous model agreement on 3' of snow 48 hours out to get 4-6" before the change to rain.
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Eh it’s all about low placement .. if this thing actually went south and just off and up the coast we would be rocking but you aren’t going to trend colder with a low on 95
 
___aneeee said:
On the other hand, the warmth of those waters create epic potentials for #oceaneffectsnow. If only troughs were able to dive deep into Florida the same way they do the Baja.

I'm serious. I don't believe I've ever seen an honest to goodness persistent 500mb ridge over that Baja area the same way that "SE ridge" shows up over Florida. In fact, even the PNW can sustain enclosed highs from time to time — yet over that Baja/NW Mexico/SW US area, there will still be shortwaves managing to carve themselves out even under general +PNA western ridging.
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Yeah apparently in the great freeze of 1899 there was ocean effect snow north of Tampa. That has always fascinated me

It's weird how it hasn't happened since though... Even 93 I don't think quite got to that level
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Eh it’s all about low placement .. if this thing actually went south and just off and up the coast we would be rocking but you aren’t going to trend colder with a low on 95
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Ever notice how low placement never goes south and just off the coast as we get close to go time? Probably a good thing to note for future storms. Need to be sitting at -10C at all layers of the atmosphere and unanimous model agreement on 3' of snow 48 hours out to get 4-6" before the change to rain.
 
Rain Cold said:
Ever notice how low placement never goes south and just off the coast as we get close to go time? Probably a good thing to note for future storms. Need to be sitting at -10C at all layers of the atmosphere and unanimous model agreement on 3' of snow 48 hours out to get 4-6" before the change to rain.
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This dude's for real. That is speaking truth to power.
 
Rain Cold said:
Ever notice how low placement never goes south and just off the coast as we get close to go time? Probably a good thing to note for future storms. Need to be sitting at -10C at all layers of the atmosphere and unanimous model agreement on 3' of snow 48 hours out to get 4-6" before the change to rain.
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I believe this is the anger and bargaining stage
 
Heelyes said:
It's not very often the upstate beats the triangle, at least someone will get to enjoy it.
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Yea I hope they get a lot cause I know they're due. (well...except for you know who in Anderson lol)

I've had my expectations in check since things went south on Wednesday. I just don't get too worked up about things ending in rain anymore. Been there, done that.
 
jackendrickwx said:
I say this but if mby back home overperforms holy ---- I’m gonna be pissed
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Hey man, can you apply for internship at WRAL? We need a mole to figure out whatever their in house model is.

Seriously it was showing track thru Burlington yesterday, and was still going thru Raleigh today.
 
Rain Cold said:
Ever notice how low placement never goes south and just off the coast as we get close to go time? Probably a good thing to note for future storms. Need to be sitting at -10C at all layers of the atmosphere and unanimous model agreement on 3' of snow 48 hours out to get 4-6" before the change to rain.
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I was just saying how other storms won’t work like this one we could easily trend colder for another type of storm where we maybe don’t have to deal with low transferring and placement as much as this one
 
I asked some girls what they thought of nicky stache . They agreed it’s a porno stache . It’s ok tho I ---- with it, you should totally get a handlebar stache .
 
Rain Cold said:
Ever notice how low placement never goes south and just off the coast as we get close to go time? Probably a good thing to note for future storms. Need to be sitting at -10C at all layers of the atmosphere and unanimous model agreement on 3' of snow 48 hours out to get 4-6" before the change to rain.
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Low north usually = unforeseen ridging

There’s a reason the low is where it is. It’s not just a flip of the coin, unfortunately.
 
Rain Cold said:
Ever notice how low placement never goes south and just off the coast as we get close to go time? Probably a good thing to note for future storms. Need to be sitting at -10C at all layers of the atmosphere and unanimous model agreement on 3' of snow 48 hours out to get 4-6" before the change to rain.
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@metwannabe we got it
 
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