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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

Shawn said:
if the gfs is right here, temp wise etc. i will not even bother looking at another model again in the future. it has legit stuck to its guns, even against its own ensemble.
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Can’t it just be consistently wrong?? Like Stephen86
 
The consistent GFS model has KATL not getting below freezing until Monday morning well after the precipitation. There will be no snow accumulation with a weak backside band with temps above freezing. Dewpoints also never get below the mid 30s until early Monday.
 
J.C. said:
The consistent GFS model has KATL not getting below freezing until Monday morning well after the precipitation. There will be no snow accumulation with a weak backside band with temps above freezing. Dewpoints also never get below the mid 30s until early Monday.
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So the wedge is a punk now
 
superjames1992 said:
I think it is safe to say the GFS is hot garbage at CAD events and thus should be taken with a grain of salt in these situations. This is nothing new.

Would I be saying that if the GFS was dropping 24” IMBY? Probably not, but still. ?
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I am banking on the track of the GFS track is correct, but temps are torched.
 
MSnowAtl said:
No GEFS, Canadian, or UKmet news yet?
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They all suck . Go with the French model . It's always right
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It’s amazing how this storm was looking great 2 days ago. Now at best I’ll get a few sleet pellets and a good chilly rain. Definitely be at work Monday.
 
MSnowAtl said:
It's amazing how ATL Mets are really hyping this storm up but when you look at the models...I am not like what winter storm. ??
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Which is why FFC has no watches anywhere near here, and likely won't have to.
 
MSnowAtl said:
It's amazing how ATL Mets are really hyping this storm up but when you look at the models...I am not like what winter storm. ??
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A glorified rain storm ?

Mom still lives over there and she was excited the other day but I've been like don't get your hopes up ? it's basically the same areas that had snow the other week over there
 
How long would a professional met remain a professional met if all of their forecasts hinged on the GFS? Y’all need to relax. The Broad River should see a pinger or two land in it before it ends as wraparound drizzle. ?
 
Shawn said:
just days ago the comments were all:
"its finally nice to track a storm where cold air is no issue"
"this is a for sure thing, it's only 6 days out and so well modeled and agreed upon"

/wrist
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One of our fine young Triangle posters did just this. Also mentioned no BL issues, and not worrying about ground temps. I remember him and won't soon forget! As soon as we get out of storm mode and this event ends in warm rain, I'll find and quote his post. Tempted the snow gods/mother nature with overconfidence. Thus, we were judged unworthy of such rewards, and they will be given to others deemed more worthy.

There must always be a scapegoat. Get your pitchforks ready gentleman. ?
 
YetAnotherRDUGuy said:
One of our fine young Triangle posters did just this. Also mentioned no BL issues, and not worrying about ground temps. I remember him and won't soon forget! As soon as we get out of storm mode and this event ends in warm rain, I'll find and quote his post. Tempted the snow gods/mother nature with overconfidence. Thus, we were judged unworthy of such rewards, and they will be given to others deemed more worthy.

There must always be a scapegoat. Get your pitchforks ready gentleman. ?
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howdy
 
Snowflowxxl said:
Cobb will 100% be under a WSW by tomorrow
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I'm not at all being sarcastic when I ask this, but why do you think so? I could see a last minute advisory come out Sunday morning for snow showers and a possibly momentary dusting on someone's deck, but thats it.
 
J.C. said:
I'm not at all being sarcastic when I ask this, but why do you think so? I could see a last minute advisory come out Sunday morning for snow showers and a possibly momentary dusting on someone's deck, but thats it.
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Almost every model has north cobb getting 2+ inches which is WSW criteria
 
DLI4SCwx said:
Nada! Lol It will remain that way for the foreseeable future too. Afterall, we here in Columbia live in the "armpit of Hell". Don't cha know? Lol
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I saw snow once there while I was in school. I think it was 09’. Stayed up all night and it snowed for like 15 minutes..
 
I’m hitting the sack. Got things in order for heading out tomorrow. Hitting the tire shop at 7:30 in the morning to make sure things are good. Going to work, and then headed towards our destination spot tomorrow afternoon. Can’t wait !
 
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