Get an extra long extension cord, set up a fan in Burlington, blow it towards your house and you won't have to run the AC
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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread
- Thread starter jackendrickwx
- Start date
I've self declared a Winter Slop Watch for myself and most in the Triangle. Conditions are favorable that no matter what falls initially, it will be a sloppy muddy wet mess by Sunday evening.
Stephenb888
Member
So much for that cold air during this storm. Looks like anything that falls (probably nothing but rain) will melt soon after.
Avalanche
Member
Id take you up on it if it were an all snow event.
Snownut
Member
I can't figure out if I just had a post deleted in here, or if I just never sent it. Maybe I just need more coffee.
It it was posted in the whamby thread I doubt it got deleted, have another cup or two and try again Lol
Stephenb888
Member
First, this is the whamby thread so that’s what it’s for. Second, it’s true that everything is trending warmer so idk what you want to hear.
Lol we really got a WSwatch? Ok
Okay man, I had a feeling. lol
Avalanche
Member
Its just been a odd situation. Ice total maps to the east of me increasing, yet thermals suggest a rapidly increasing warmup at the surface due to wwa from east to west. Wth?
Im over this one, with the pattern we have, ready to roll the dice with the next one.
However, if arguing ensues and you have issues with other posters either ignore them or PM them, we probably will not let that go on even in here. Thanks
You can stay for free! And to any of you guys that's coming to the MTNS if you get stuck or need assistance message me I'll come get you.
I can't believe I'm in it. I'm really excited about the finger of doom tomorrow potentially over performing
You probably just forgot to post it. PackFan usually isn’t up this early so it probably wasn’t deleted. ?
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BHS1975
Member
Oy vey...
I don't have the stamina to waste another 5 days tracking another eventual rain event.
View attachment 105374
Yeap just like last year except colder rain this year.
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BHS1975
Member
That's what happens when you warm up the planet. The Dinosaurs didn't have any snow to track lol.
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Snownut
Member
Well I'm sure he's gonna enjoy his ICE storm he's fixing to get
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Avalanche
Member
So, is the most exciting part of this storm going to be how long it takes for insitu CAD to erode with screaming waa?
Im curious
Im curious
They are hit or miss. We've seen a few where they over performed by inches (believe it was 14 and 15 where they went bonkers) and some where we got a day of virga
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BRUH campus workers have accidentally washed away some of the brine they put down yesterday
Avalanche
Member
Avalanche
Member
If not them, wwa rain would do it anyway.
Yeah to me it’s just how early can we start precip, can we start with more sleet/snow, and then how long till we flip ZR then rain
SnowNiner
Member
I really do not like Miller Bs. They're not all the same and I know we do good with A/B hybrids, but with how north the primary gets this looks more like standard Miller B to me. No bueno. Shame to waste all this cold air on sleet/freezing rain.
Using the fv3 here since it's most aggressive other than a little drying at the sfc it's not a bad look
Then you’ve got the usual caveats of the strength and staying power of the CAD, does the low track well east of the area or right next door, imo there’s enough uncertainty/wiggle room that the watch was warranted
LovingGulfLows
Member
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Well here's to hoping for better trends today.....yesterday was not good.
Snownut
Member
If you wanted Snow in Ga, Upstate, or NC this has always been a 85 North Storm.
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Also there’s no brine on those downhill sidewalks at the court in front of 1911 building. I know where I’m taking my Chick-fil-A tray sled before we flip to rain
For your sake, I hope you're on the west side of chapel hill. This looks to have a crazier west to east temp gradient then most. Might even outperform Roxboro in this setup. lol
GarnerNC
Member
I've never understood the spraying brine down on streets when we almost always start as rain if it does snow. I assume it works, otherwise, why would they do it, but it's hard to understand how it's helping.
Loganville Winter
Member
So less than 48 hours out, I am getting somewhere between a trace of snow, .07 ZR to 5 inches of snow and .75 of ZR. Nice to narrow it down like that. ?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I'm getting from a dusting to 9 inches and from 0 to .25 of zr. Now there's more models to show more things that don't align with others! Awesome!
They've got half of Wake at around 1'' accumulation before the changeover. Ice is less than .25'' for now. Which makes me think it was more for snow/sleet criteria than ice.
With his updated map later I guess he'll have alpha, beta, gamma, delta....... jeez
