Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

[SD]

That overnight CFS run showed what I thought was a perfect scenario to break all-time cold records. Question for a met (or anybody with the knowledge): How cold can we actually get with the perfect setup? 20 below for RDU?

I've always thought around -5 was kind of our realistic floor going forward with the overall climate warming and the inability of our area to really plunge well below 0 frequently historically. I do think that the record low max at rdu may be easier to beat than the record low

 

[weatherfide]

You guys know you don't have to wait for the CFS to get clown maps, right? There are plenty of free drawing programs on the internet where you can cut and paste the map and color it up to make any fantasy snow storm that you like. It would be just as accurate.

 

[LickWx]

I've always thought around -5 was kind of our realistic floor going forward with the overall climate warming and the inability of our area to really plunge well below 0 frequently historically. I do think that the record low max at rdu may be easier to beat than the record low

The CFS had RDU drop below 20 hour 516 and was still in single digits at hour 768 when the run ended. That isn't even close to any previous cold we have gotten (1899, 1977, 1985). Its something unheard of. Forget once in a 100 that was once in 1000. Hell, think it had 2-3 days where the temp never broke 0 in the deep south near the gulf coast. I have seen the CFS do this before in previous years.

 

[Rain Cold]

That overnight CFS run showed what I thought was a perfect scenario to break all-time cold records. Question for a met (or anybody with the knowledge): How cold can we actually get with the perfect setup? 20 below for RDU?

What is the snow depth on the CFS?

 

[SD]

The CFS had RDU drop below 20 hour 516 and was still in single digits at hour 768 when the run ended. That isn't even close to any previous cold we have gotten (1899, 1977, 1985). Its something unheard of. Forget once in a 100 that was once in 1000. Hell, think it had 2-3 days where the temp never broke 0 in the deep south near the gulf coast. I have seen the CFS do this before in previous years.

Yeah it may not handle snow cover well so it just feeds back on itself so it just gets colder and colder

 

[LickWx]

Yeah it may not handle snow cover well so it just feeds back on itself so it just gets colder and colder

I want to say it was 2017, but the GFS had the same issue. It showed RDU hitting -10 run after run after run, even up to verification it had the low at RDU at -10 when it was only 9.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I just want to see some 2014 type cold again. The way the sky looks on those near zero mornings is something else. Like I have a piece of the Arctic circle in my back yard.

 

[LickWx]

I just want to see some 2014 type cold again. The way the sky looks on those near zero mornings is something else. Like I have a piece of the Arctic circle in my back yard.

Can slice through the stratosphere and eat ozone for breakfast lol. Might even be able to poke your head into outerspace!

 

[Broken024]

Would be worse than what happened in Texas. There wouldn't be a single tree left alive in the south except for a few red maples or something lol.

This would be awesome. We could put freeways and chick fil a everywhere.

 

[LickWx]

This would be awesome. We could put freeways and chick fil a everywhere.

That’s what would happen, lots of bare land and massive loss would mean a lot of people anxious to sell to developers .

 

[LickWx]

Lmao, 10% chance that Jackson, MS, gets down to -22? You must be trolling. You can’t possibly believe that.

You can ask @metwannabe but during the great Oooga Booga cold blast of 10,000 BC Jackson miss hit -22. Lost a few mammoth from his herd.

 

[Broken024]

That’s what would happen, lots of bare land and massive loss would mean a lot of people anxious to sell to developers .

She's a beaut Clark.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Buena Papa Fry Bar, Raleigh

 

[LickWx]

But not as much difference between Jackson, MS and Northern AL. If it can be -27 in North AL i think -22 in Central MS is not completely out of the realm of possibilities.

I think you getting banned is not out of the realm of possibilities

 

[LickWx]

Buena Papa Fry Bar, Raleigh View attachment 98464

I at 36 pieces of sushi . 12 California rolls and 24 salmon rolls. Where were you last night .

 

[FallsLake]

What is the snow depth on the CFS?

Looks like a large swath of one to two feet over the whole SE. Basically a glacier.

 

[NoSnowATL]

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Lol people getting excited over a 700 hour CFS model run

 

[LickWx]

Lol people getting excited over a 700 hour CFS model run

I mean , it starts at hour 512 tbf

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

That CFS run from last night is just flat out crazy lol.

None of it is likely to happen, but I would honestly take a winter where we saw a couple weeks like January 1982 and otherwise normal to above normal temperatures for the rest of the winter.

(placed in Whamby because this is pure fantasy stuff loool)