Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

[Brick Tamland]

Yep said the same thing on a couple people's post last night

It does look like a lull for a week or two but there's apparently gonna be a favorable wave around the 15th-20th which ironically is when I always consider the real season to start

Even 2005 had a lull in August before Katrina happened and the rest is history

The first week of September seems to be a bad time for canes to hit NC.

 

[Henry2326]

ICON has run with this for August 10th thru 12th on the last 5 or 6 runs.
CDC showed it a couple of times for the same time period also.

 

[Henry2326]

Today, CDC has it on 12z, again for Aug 13.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Glad to have you back Henry! I was wondering where you were.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Henry2326]

Glad to have you back Henry! I was wondering where you were.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Thanks Ollie!

 

[Henry2326]

Last 4 GFS runs like aug 18 - 20

 

[Brent]

Enjoy the lull

 

[ForsythSnow]

Enjoy the lullView attachment 46053

Figures. We're well on our way to seeing some monsters unfortunately. September into October the Caribbean is probably going to produce one.

 

[Webberweather53]

12z Euro ensemble, along w/ the ICON, & CMC (as others mentioned) are really starting to pick up on another area of interest in the eastern Atlantic as early as this weekend into early next week. Little rest for the weary.

 

[Henry2326]

18z GFS crazy about 18 thru 20th.....wow......will this be the monster?

 

[Brent]

18z GFS crazy about 18 thru 20th.....wow......will this be the monster?

View attachment 46060

It's probably only a matter of time at this point

 

[Brick Tamland]

18z GFS crazy about 18 thru 20th.....wow......will this be the monster?

View attachment 46060

The thing about getting a monster in the Gulf is there's nowhere for it to go but land.

 

[accu35]

Gulf monsters are scary no doubt

 

[Brent]

Hurricane into New Orleans this run though not nearly as intense as the 18z it's interesting to see how its consistent though...

 

[Henry2326]

Hurricane into New Orleans this run though not nearly as intense as the 18z it's interesting to see how its consistent though...

View attachment 46069

Eery feeling more like it.....

 

[Webberweather53]

Hurricane into New Orleans this run though not nearly as intense as the 18z it's interesting to see how its consistent though...

View attachment 46069

This looks like typical long range GFS bs, where tons of vorticity & convection propagate off South America and spin up into a TC. Glwt

 

[Webberweather53]

Huh, I thought the Atlantic was supposed to be taking a break?

 

[Henry2326]

This looks like typical long range GFS bs, where tons of vorticity & convection propagate off South America and spin up into a TC. Glwt

Tell us how you really feel about GFS....hahaha

 

[Henry2326]

Huh, I thought the Atlantic was supposed to be taking a break?

View attachment 46075



View attachment 46076


View attachment 46077

CMC has it on the 11th.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Still going up... damn