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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

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If I see a flake before New Year's Day I'll consider it a success tbh, we've had so many snowless Decembers I'm numb to it at this point
 
This gets me mad. The Ridge holds back energy, that has enough moisture to be a repeat of December 2018.
54B44318-784B-42F5-8095-67373536BE02.png*
*Ptype frames haven’t loaded, it does this for a while.
92768E08-94CA-4C57-B2E0-5357F7E5E654.png
 
This gets me mad. The Ridge holds back energy, that has enough moisture to be a repeat of December 2018.
View attachment 52763*
*Ptype frames haven’t loaded, it does this for a while.
View attachment 52764
At least we’re close to something, CMC moves our trough off a tad to fast and the cutoff is held back, while the gfs is fast with it, at least we’re staring down a pattern that can produce
 
At least we’re close to something, CMC moves our trough off a tad to fast and the cutoff is held back, while the gfs is fast with it, at least we’re staring down a pattern that can produce
I think that while this pattern is not a dumpster fire, it will be an uphill battle. I believe that the +PNA ridge will be very strong, so balancing out that with a strong northern stream trough will be important. I think that the CMC is way too overzealous with HP, and usually is. The GFS solution will not be any good due to the interaction with the wave and a ridge over the EC/Atlantic. I think that our best wish is for a stronger trough out ahead of the storm, and a slower s/w as you mentioned. Otherwise, I’m not impressed, and I think that atm, we are grasping at straws.
 
lol who pays for this? Wxsouth winter forecast update yesterday. “There's something for everyone...not constantly cold or wet, nor warm and dry.”
 
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