Which winter month will likely be the biggest dumpster fire of the 3? I'm going February.
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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
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Brent
Member
Frontloaded winter probably so yeah
December
That Bamwx tweet was just what the CFS has for December, not the whole winter. Besides, even if Dec is warm, that doesn't mean there can't be cold for a few days that month which we have now, which I'd expect. The first 5 days are looking on the models to be near normal rate than torch. Fingers crossed that the SER won't screw that up!
Definitely February
December. I know this against typical La Niña climatology but the best bet is a snowless, much warmer than normal month for areas outside of the mountains.
Brent
Member
Probably not just one month tbh
On the plus side its good to have zero expectations for winter lol
Around here (central NC) December is almost always a dumpster fire. I always thought of December snow as an uncommon event rather than a common event. It was quite unusual to see substantial portions of the SE getting snow on ON THE SAME DAY in early December two years in a row. Of the past 15 years only 3 Decembers had measurable snow at RDU - 2010, 2017 (barely) and 2018. February has been much better on average
If things go as bad as possible, at least I have already seen my winter weather for the year. I have no right to complain about winter in any way because of that.
SimeonNC
Member
Maybe it's just dumb optimism but I feel like despite everything on paper saying that it's gonna be a bad winter, I feel like it'll be pretty decent.
Remember in previous years how all those long range forecasts had us in the deep freezer for winter and it never really panned out? Apply that same logic to this winter and that's how I feel.
Remember in previous years how all those long range forecasts had us in the deep freezer for winter and it never really panned out? Apply that same logic to this winter and that's how I feel.
Brent
Member
Yeah I'm not cancelling my Denver trip in January lol it's probably gonna be the one real shot to see snow this winter unless I get lucky and a snow chase lines up when I'm off work but the odds of that happening again are probably next to zero
The La Nina and the track record lately is meh
I mean I guess you could look at it like the predictions are always wrong but I'm just over it tbh
Lately it hasn't even rained here now that may be changing but yeah
Live look the the new Euro weekly run:
NoSnowATL
Member
Might take cold rain as a win this year.
NoSnowATL
Member
Winning!
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
WRAL calling for below average snow again this winter for the Triangle.
wr.al
Winter 2020 outlook: Some snow, snaps of cold
Expected snowfall is the trickiest part of the winter outlook, but if you love snow, we have some good news. In every La Niña year, we have had at least one measurable snow event and another three days or more with a trace of snow.
wr.al
Forecasting snow in this area is always tricky because one storm can make the difference between no measurable snow and above normal snowfall.WRAL calling for below average snow again this winter for the Triangle.
Winter 2020 outlook: Some snow, snaps of cold
Expected snowfall is the trickiest part of the winter outlook, but if you love snow, we have some good news. In every La Niña year, we have had at least one measurable snow event and another three days or more with a trace of snow.
What is this ad trying to tell me?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
You might need that when you go back to Central Oklahoma the end of January !
If I can, I will take a February 2011 repeat to go. As it turns out It was also the last strong La Niña year. ?
SWVAwxfan
Member
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