Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

[SD]

This is arguably the best look for snow I’ve ever seen.
View attachment 65166
View attachment 65167
View attachment 65168
View attachment 65169

If it doesn't work out, it isn't the best

 

[sdm47]

The CFS, the worse model, has a nice system for south/central Ga into the midlands of SC for next week (hr 192). It would then move up the coast and provide the coastal areas of NC some snow. It's been some time for the folks in these areas.
View attachment 65160

The CFS is only a slightly lower resolution version of the LR range GFS (56 km vs 44 km). All of this 300 hour analysis is basically equivalent to just looking at the CFS. So in other words, why don't we look at it more?!

 

[FallsLake]

The CFS is only a slightly lower resolution version of the LR range GFS (56 km vs 44 km). All of this 300 hour analysis is basically equivalent to just looking at the CFS. So in other words, why don't we look at it more?!

Good point. I guess the biggest issue with the model is it goes out a full month. People (including me) look at day 25 and see if flip from warm patterns to cold patterns with each run. So, as long as we use it for the shorter term (say only 10 days out), it could be useful.

 

[Broken024]

My dancin shoes are on

 

[sdm47]

Good point. I guess the biggest issue with the model is it goes out a full month. People (including me) look at day 25 and see if flip from warm patterns to cold patterns with each run. So, as long as we use it for the shorter term (say only 10 days out), it could be useful.

Haha nah, in truth I was being sarcastic. What I was really trying to point out is those same flips we see on the CFS we also see on the LR GFS because it just isn't worth looking at beyond truncation IMO.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Looks legit to me.

 

[GaStorm]

Looks legit to me.
View attachment 65184

Only problem is that doesn't look right for areas like TX and AL who usually score before us in this pattern.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Only problem is that doesn't look right for areas like TX and AL who usually score before us in this pattern.

That’s because it is a Cad storm which means NC/SC/GA most of the time cash out AL and TX is left out in this setup.

 

[GaStorm]

Looking back at our February storm last year the ICON and NAM were first to pick up on it. Let's see if this run yesterday leads the way for our next one.

 

[GaStorm]

That’s because it is a Cad storm which means NC/SC/GA most of the time cash out AL and TX is left out in this setup.

With such an active period I would expect areas further west to do well too.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Looking back at our February storm last year the ICON and NAM were first to pick up on it. Let's see if this run last night leads the way for our next one.

View attachment 65186

For the record the CMC was. I remember for a while the ICON has it down to Wilmington but was second.

 

[GaStorm]

For the record the CMC was. I remember for a while the ICON has it down to Wilmington but was second.

Oh didn't know that. I read through and only saw the ICON first.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Oh didn't know that. I read through and only saw the ICON first.

Well, I'm not sure about the storm showing up in its entirety. However, as far as showing the NC wide storm, the CMC was the first.

 

[Pup12]

That snowhole

Looks legit to me.
View attachment 65184

That snowhole in North Alabama is glorious ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

More Pop up storms around here ?

 

[SD]

 

[Broken024]

where's my f'ing snow

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

I don't know why people try to argue with @Webberweather53. I tried to once and learned my lesson very quickly. He will win EVERY time lol

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

where's my f'ing snow

In TX and LA. ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

where's my f'ing snow

In Dubuque