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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

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NoSnowATL said:
Atlanta sucks. Cold rain special.
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Atlanta has never recorded a double digit snowfall. Even Macon has a double digit snowfall in the last 50 years. Atlanta hasn't had one in 150 years. It' going to hurt watching places to the west possibly getting over a foot of snow from multiple snow events(and some of those areas also got snow last month). I'm still waiting for that historic winter here.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
That’s some scary ---- wtf View attachment 73444View attachment 73445
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Looks like an IP fest to me for the 85 corridor in NC taking this model at face value. Don’t need a deep layer of cold to go from ZR to IP when your sfc temps are in the low-mid 20s. You can usually bank on the lateral extent of IP over performing when snow or ZR are also forecast
 
LovingGulfLows said:
Atlanta has never recorded a double digit snowfall. Even Macon has a double digit snowfall in the last 50 years. Atlanta hasn't had one in 150 years. It' going to hurt watching places to the west possibly getting over a foot of snow from multiple snow events(and some of those areas also got snow last month). I'm still waiting for that historic winter here.
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Atlanta hasn't had a 6" snowfall in 38 years. They only had 4" in 93. Name one other city from I-20 northward that has gone longer without a 6" snow. Even some cities south of I-20 have had a more recent 6" snow than Atlanta.
 
WXinCanton said:
What do you consider Atlanta?
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The airport. The only place that counts. Even Carrollton which is slightly further south than the airport has had two or three 6" snows since Atlantas last 6" snow. I think even Newnan has a more recent 6" snow.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Looks like an IP fest to me for the 85 corridor in NC taking this model at face value. Don’t need a deep layer of cold to go from ZR to IP when your sfc temps are in the low-mid 20s. You can usually bank on the lateral extent of IP over performing when snow or ZR are also forecast
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Don't many of the models still show cold rain for most of the Carolinas? Even the cold biased CMC still shows just freezing rain outside of far northern NC. I'm still not convinced that the Carolinas outside of the Mountains and far Northern NC will see Sleet or even freezing rain.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Looks like an IP fest to me for the 85 corridor in NC taking this model at face value. Don’t need a deep layer of cold to go from ZR to IP when your sfc temps are in the low-mid 20s. You can usually bank on the lateral extent of IP over performing when snow or ZR are also forecast
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Are you expecting cold rain for RDU or ZR?
 
My experience with CAD events in ATL:

1. I live near the airport. I have seen where my area (alot of times) is forecast a cold rain and area like Athens and Gainesville is forecast Freezing Rain. Only to have have freezing rain all the way to Lagrange. Which a freezing rain advisory is issued for my area.

2. They usually start as snow to sleet to Freezing rain

3. The wedges does not eroded as fast as model depict. Major of time is colder especially if there is a snow pack to the north.

The Feb 14 storm was suppose to have Freezing rain for ATL. It ended up with mostly sleet and then 2 inches of snow on top.

I feel this is coming with this storm in my opinion. We will see though! On to the EURO!
 
I guess we don’t suck again. But it’s hard to believe we actually get precipitation with temperatures below freezing. That just doesn’t happen anymore. All we get is sloppy, slushy snow above freezing. And I’m supposed to believe we’re going to see ZR/IP with temperatures in the low 20s?
 
superjames1992 said:
I guess we don’t suck again. But it’s hard to believe we actually get precipitation with temperatures below freezing. That just doesn’t happen anymore. All we get is sloppy, slushy snow above freezing. And I’m supposed to believe we’re going to see ZR/IP with temperatures in the low 20s?
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No we still do. I think the chances just went up from 0% to 2% chance. Lol.
 
Loganelliott99 said:
What was the first model to show cad and ice for the Carolinas?
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I'll bet money it was the CFS, followed by the GFS simply because they populate data further in the future than the other models. You will see winter weather for the SE on them during the winter season. Obviously most events don't pan out the way the best looking run looks.
 
superjames1992 said:
I guess we don’t suck again. But it’s hard to believe we actually get precipitation with temperatures below freezing. That just doesn’t happen anymore. All we get is sloppy, slushy snow above freezing. And I’m supposed to believe we’re going to see ZR/IP with temperatures in the low 20s?
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Yea. It's one of those scenarios where we know it's possible and it's happened before (not lately), but it's just not common.
 
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