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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

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Sleet City USA said:
I have been trained by the past 2 years to think this will be a ridge by day 6. What are the chances it’s not?
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My gut feeling is that worst-case scenario this won't be a ridge over the SE. However, I do think that the worst-case would be a ridge over East Canada to suppress cold air.
 
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Brett, remember in laniñas, they are usually front loaded. Keep that in mind. I will be happy just to see a freeze here, maybe hard freeze
 
I have always been pessimistic when it comes to snow chances before Christmas. 2018 was the first time in over 15 years it snowed more than an inch before Christmas here in Raleigh. The December 2017 storm was a bust here, and I recall there was a December 2008 or 2009 storm that brought Louisiana snow but nothing here. The Deep South and of course the NC mountains have seemingly had more early December snowfalls than here.

We've had much better luck in January and February historically, so I naturally am more optimistic then. Though January has been a dumpster fire the last two years and February 2017-19 all sucked
 
CyclonicFury said:
I have always been pessimistic when it comes to snow chances before Christmas. 2018 was the first time in over 15 years it snowed more than an inch before Christmas here in Raleigh. The December 2017 storm was a bust here, and I recall there was a December 2008 or 2009 storm that brought Louisiana snow but nothing here. The Deep South and of course the NC mountains have seemingly had more early December snowfalls than here.

We've had much better luck in January and February historically, so I naturally am more optimistic then. Though January has been a dumpster fire the last two years and February 2017-19 all sucked
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Dont forget the Christmas snow of 2010 !
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
Dont forget the Christmas snow of 2010 !
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That was after Christmas, I was specifically talking about before Christmas, especially early December. Early December did have the ice storm in 2002 though and the 2000 coastal which shafted RDU. Early December is kind of like June/July in the Atlantic hurricane season when it comes to winter storms: you can occasionally get something very significant but you usually don't.
 
CyclonicFury said:
That was after Christmas, I was specifically talking about before Christmas, especially early December. Early December did have the ice storm in 2002 though and the 2000 coastal which shafted RDU. Early December is kind of like June/July in the Atlantic hurricane season when it comes to winter storms: you can occasionally get something very significant but you usually don't.
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I think in general the further east you are the harder it is to get early season snows. Seems like western areas fare better early in the season.
 
@metwannabe
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