Wintry 2/11-2/12 ULL Magic or More Cold Rain

[LukeBarrette]

6z

New 12z
How do you take this model seriously

 

[jrips27]

 

[Parker]

?

 

[BullCityWx]

i just dont trust the gfs though, feels like all rain and we see this thing trend west through verification.

I think something falls, even if it is just a trace of snow or sleet. Of course, I am hoping for much more.

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Nice band on the nam for NGA

 

[Parker]

?

Trending towards a March 2009….

 

[rburrel2]

NAM says that the boundary layer is a non issue here. Just waiting on the cold pool aloft. Nice to see that and if true the western upstate can get a decent snow even with the further north track.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Mountains buried on the NAM. Wide area thumpage

 

[LukeBarrette]

10:1, not done in VA in this image

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Quite the jump NW there. @Tarheel1 needs to be on his toes up in Canada or North Dakota or wherever he lives

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I’d go to Cashiers ?‍

 

[Snowlover87]

I may go to Crossville, TN. They have a little bit of elevation.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

There continues to be less cold air every cycle of runs.. this is getting embarrassing for us all ?

 

[BullCityWx]

I really like that far SW end of NC from about Cherokee to Murphy

 

[KyloG]

One positive for us in central NC is the west trend has brought us into the dryslot for rain. Major victory for us this winter.

 

[severestorm]

Yuck! Not enjoying the freezing rain part.

 

[DixieBlizzard]

10:1, not done in VA in this image

This is the best look so far in the GA Blue Ridge and near @EmersonGA and @WXinCanton. Not the final solution by a longshot but it would be a nice surprise. You too @J.C.

 

[buckinbronco]

ICON looks to have more stream separation as well

 

[iGRXY]

Not going to end well here as well.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

More stream separation ain’t what you want. Before you know it only the mountains get freezing rain and that’s it.