Wintry 2/11-2/12 ULL Magic or More Cold Rain

[Meteorologist1999]

I have some bad news lol

More shifts like what we been seeing and Columbia could definitely get in the game.

 

[WSNC]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The best out for folks in the piedmont have is get a deeper/slower 50-50 low, another day or so for that to trend favorably and allow for a little more cold air transport at least initially, but it still wouldn't be great. Imagine if we had a 50-50 that was even a third as strong as the one that triggered the massive cold outbreak in New England last week ?.

We tryin with that SE Canada low

 

[NCSNOW]

Nam getting ready to thump someone. Looks better verse its 12z.

 

[griteater]

Latest would be pretty good too

View attachment 132556View attachment 132555

Well dam, that's the 2nd time today I've posted the wrong model run. Clearly I need happy hour more than the GFS does

Maybe WeatherBell will have today's JMA run posted by midnight ?‍

 

[iGRXY]

Nice

 

[NCSNOW]

Miss the Dgex; Need another model cycle or two to see how the story finishes off on the NAM. But it was another improvement verse its 12z run

 

[Webberweather53]

We tryin with that SE Canada low View attachment 132563View attachment 132564

The only case I can recall where we had a full-on Rex Block that actually worked out was Feb 2004. That case the 50-50 low was stronger and the center of the ridge anomaly was to the north, both more favorable indicators for injecting cold into a setup like this, that we don't seem to have atm.

 

[griteater]

WOW! that is an old school image. People really have no idea how hard it used to be to do this hobby.

I think it drifted 75-100 miles N in the end but honestly, it wasn’t that dramatic

Here's another image from that storm

 

[Fountainguy97]

acceptable. Was abt to drop a foot on me lol.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

acceptable. Was abt to drop a foot on me lol.

I have a spare bedroom. Bidding starts at $1000.
View attachment 132565

Congrats @ForsythSnow !

 

[WSNC]

The only case I can recall where we had a full-on Rex Block that actually worked out was Feb 2004. That case the 50-50 low was stronger and the center of the ridge anomaly was to the north, both more favorable indicators for injecting cold into a setup like this, that we don't seem to have atm.

Feb 15/16 or Feb 26/27??

 

[Chazwin]

The only case I can recall where we had a full-on Rex Block that actually worked out was Feb 2004. That case the 50-50 low was stronger and the center of the ridge anomaly was to the north, both more favorable indicators for injecting cold into a setup like this, that we don't seem to have atm.

I’m sure that it also helped that we had a reasonably deep cold airmass in place for that storm to help set up the overrunning snowfall that we had for the first part of it.

 

[severestorm]

Ensembles looking improved for Asheville and Even maybe Charlotte too.

 

[rburrel2]

NAM basically has no boundary layer issues for Western Piedmont regions.... just waiting for 750-850mb layers to crash at hour 84.
Here's the GSP sounding

.

.

 

[SD]

Lol congrats @olhausen

 

[severestorm]

NAM basically has no boundary layer issues or Western Piedmont regions.... just waiting for 750-850mb layers to crash at hour 84

View attachment 132569 .

Yup, temps much improved....

 

[rburrel2]

I fully believe the 18z NAM was about to obliterate NE GA and upstate SC after looking over soundings. Even Atlanta might have been in the game.

 

[BullCityWx]

I fully believe the 18z NAM was about to obliterate NE GA and upstate SC after looking over soundings. Even Atlanta might have been in the game.

It definitely was fixing to flip to at least sleet

 

[SnowQueen]

Yup, temps much improved....

View attachment 132571

I mean... Concord and clt not so much... central NC nsm... upstate and N.GA hells yeah! (God I hope I am somewhat correct cause I have no idea what y'all are saying 90% of the time)