Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie

[Storm5]

Hrrr hammers northern Alabama and Georgia

 

[SnowedIn1]

 

[CobraMedic]

I figured you'd come up this way.

If I had somewhere to go in Grant, I would!

 

[SnowwxAtl]

I see grits projection of bad trends at night has begun, looks like HRRR is warmer

Is it rain in ATL?

 

[SnowedIn1]

 

[SnowQueen]

Concord 25/8. Bring on the freakin’ SNOW!!!

 

[SnowedIn1]

 

[Shinrin]

looks like it's gonna be below freezing for a while here. looking at weather channel, it's gonna be a mix of rain and snow around at 27F at 7 am, seems crazy to have rain at that temp, must be that NAM warm nose they are talking about.

 

[CobraMedic]

View attachment 162055

So at what point do we just say NAM is smoking crack? Short range models are painting a pretty picture for our area.

 

[CLOTT01]

Up here in Winston county 34/21 with precip inside 50 miles

 

[weatherfide]

29.7, dewpoint of 17.9, Wet bulb of 25.9. Ouch.

 

[beanskip]

HRRR really breaks down the wedge much faster than any other model. Doesn’t seem realistic.

 

[ChattaVOL]

So at what point do we just say NAM is smoking crack? Short range models are painting a pretty picture for our area.

That’s the HRRR


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[WolfpackHomer91]

25/9 in Mooresville NC off Linwood Road


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[SD]

I see grits projection of bad trends at night has begun, looks like HRRR is warmer

HRRR shooting us up to 40-45 tomorrow after a fully clear night with clouds rolling in around sun up is a choice i suppose

 

[iGRXY]

HRRR has rain up to the 85 corridor. It may switch to sleet and ZR but that alone makes me think this run has 3 or 4 screws loose

 

[Rain Cold]

Morganton, NC checking in at 26/16. It's snow time!

 

[LukeBarrette]

HRRR shooting us up to 40-45 tomorrow after a fully clear night and rolling the clouds in around sun up is a choice i suppose

That won’t happen. Always 5 degrees too warm. Did it to me in the last storm. Said it was going to be 40 and never got over 36

 

[ForsythSnow]

30/14, going down

 

[CobraMedic]

That’s the HRRR


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Granted, but it is supported by big hitters GFS and Euro. I couldn't think of a better duo in my corner.

 

[iGRXY]

As bad as that HRRR run was, it still drops 3-5” in my neck of the woods

 

[UNCSC]

I seriously don’t understand the 12 hours of good trends and then 12 hours of bad trends cycle we are in. Never have seen it do that in storms before, almost laughable at this point.

 

[strongwxnc]

28.8/10.7 Bostic, nc

 

[ChattaVOL]

29.6/14 Chattanooga


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[WolfpackHomer91]

Going to concord tmrw to visit in-laws.

Nice….. I grew up over By NW Cabarrus HS. Concord used to be a heat island somehow


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[wow]

I seriously don’t understand the 12 hours of good trends and then 12 hours of bad trends cycle we are in. Never have seen it do that in storms before, almost laughable at this point.

It happens in every storm.

 

[SnowedIn1]

 

[iGRXY]

Well your first issue is it has us shooting up to the mid to upper 30’s a couple of hours max before precip arrives which pretty much screws the entire run up from there. I’m calling BS

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Holy cow. NAM hammers GA and SC with zr.View attachment 162046

Looks like the Canadian map a few days ago

 

[EmersonGA]

26/18. Spotty high clouds haven’t slowed down the cooling yet.

 

[thanksgivingbrown]

I seriously don’t understand the 12 hours of good trends and then 12 hours of bad trends cycle we are in. Never have seen it do that in storms before, almost laughable at this point.

It’s winter weather forecasting in the south. It’s guaranteed to waffle back and forth

 

[iGRXY]

5” of snow, 1” of sleet, 0.1” of ZR and that’s for a dog water run.

 

[SD]

I remember when people were concerned about the qpf maps around here

 

[rburrel2]

Really annoying that the Hrrr doesn't start precip here until 2pm. The Euro AI and GFS start at 7am... How is the gap that wide?

 

[Shawn]

CAE threw HRRR out earlier. Too warm.

The overall trend
today amongst guidance not named the HRRR (HRRR begins too warm and
too moist Friday given lack of airmass modification expected in the
surface high) has been towards a slightly colder & wetter solution.

 

[ragtop50]

I remember when people were concerned about the qpf maps around hereView attachment 162059

That area over us that was dry (between the heavier QPF in GA/SC and off the NC coast) has been slowly filling in with .5+ QPF

 

[ontherocks]

30/15. Do it.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The HRRR and RGEM are almost identical placement wise, just the RGEM a little colder and the HRRR has snow further north

 

[a_gilmore88]

View attachment 162061View attachment 162062The HRRR and RGEM are almost identical placement wise, just the RGEM a little colder and the HRRR has snow further north

I’d take 3-4” and run with it here in Rowan County, NC. Expecting a changeover to sleet at some point though which will cut into the totals.


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[hky1894]

Morganton, NC checking in at 26/16. It's snow time!

I’m up the road in lenoir. Will be ecstatic if we get even 2 inches of snow been a long drought!


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